|
Join Now!
MACLEAN - Selections -
Info Here
A little
info for UK residents or USA residents
or anyone outside of Australia:
MACLEAN - Selections -
Info Here
Betfair is almost useless for placing
bets on aussie racing. At best you might
just get a couple of hundred on (which
for many is fine) but as soon as you
have the types of success we have had
over the last week or so, you won't get
those bets on.
This is what
I suggest you do:
Whatever
country you are in, make perfectly sure
you are using a legal and authorized
bookmaker. NEVER USE illegal bookmakers
even offshore bookmakers. If you do, you
leave yourself wide open to prosecution.
You may also find that using some of
these offshore betting sites, that you
never get your winnings and have no
legal avenue to complain or attempt to
get your money back.
Great Britain, The
U.S.A. and Australia have new and
stringent laws in place against using
the above type of facilities. The sites
I have listed below are all legal and
authorized within Australia. Should you
reside in the U.S.A - Then check your
local laws to ensure if you join any
said service that it is legal for you to
do so.
THE LAW AND YOU!
This is important
information to protect yourself against
breaking the law, in Australia, The USA,
Great Britain and many other Countries
and States etc.
I've collated some info
which I will be adding to, to help you
understand what laws are in place so you
know not to break them. I've included
info on known scams so you are able to
make informed decisions before making a
purchase.
I make no reference to
any particular product and I pay no
attention to what is voiced, good or bad
on various forums. In most cases, these
comments are simply unhappy customers of
some product voicing their personal
opinions.
THE
LAW
Gambling on Horse Racing
is fun and should be treated as such
(entertainment) Profit from horse racing
is always possible but should never be
treated as a 'business' or an
'investment'
Due to new laws in force
within Australia/USA and generally
worldwide, it's to your advantage to
'Know The Law' and understand the
consequences of breaking said laws.
Here are some links:
USA
Illegal Internet
Gambling -
Washington State Gambling Commission
The following sites
appear to be fully legal in Washington
and in general for many USA States. It
also appears to be a subsidiary of
Belfair. This site will probably be of
most interest to USA Residents.
www.tvg.com
Software required:
Internet Explorer 6, 7 and 8 or
Firefox 2.0+ or Mac Safari 3.2+
http://www.twinspires.com/content/about-us
http://www.xpressbet.com/whatisxb.aspx
http://www.youbet.com/
http://www.whrc.wa.gov/?page=200
(Info on legal USA betting)
AUSTRALIA
Racing
and Betting Act 1980 (with
amendments)
The Racing And Betting Act 1980 -
Various Amendments
Sports investment scams
Sports Investment Scams (PDF)
Okay, that's the
official side of things. Mostly I agree
with it all and have stated these things
for decades as most people who have
dealt with me already know.
Prediction Software
can be a useful tool in your analyses
work. based on past performance it can
indicate future trends.
Don't be fooled into
believing this software will always
predict winners in the future, it won't
and can't. Don't buy this software on
that basis. If you feel the software can
help with analyses, go ahead, that's
fine.
Some of this software
can cost thousands....... don't buy it -
It is overpriced (Not necessarily a
con). Products are always for sale but
with these types of products, including
e-books, when the price starts getting
into the hundreds or thousands, forget
the purchase.
There are many good
quality products around, but when they
get greedy and ask huge amounts, my
suggestion it to bypass the purchase.
The words 'Con' and
'Scam' are words that are used all over
the place on the internet. Try and
determine the difference. NOT all racing
products are cons and scams, they may be
referred to in such a manner by legal
entities, but in fact in very, very many
cases, they are NOT scams or cons, they
simply are 'Not Very Good Products'
There is a big difference. If said
products are promoted as INVESTMENTS or
HOME BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES or MAKE
MILLIONS OVERNIGHT (Get Rich Quick
Schemes) then that is a fair indication
it is a scam or confidence trick.
I've been in this
business a very long time. I have always
operated in a legal and honest manner. I
have always offered advice and pointed
out what are the real scams. This is
even in my book, 'My Mathematical
Formula'
From the very beginning
and the very reason My Mathematical
Formula was even written was to show up
the scams where applicable. To teach the
unsuspecting what to look for in scams.
Whilst outlining in detail honest and
sensible ways of winning at horse
racing.
Betfair is mostly useless now for
Aussie races. I
do have TAB accounts in Australia which
is more than satisfactory. I'll list
below the possible options you can look
at:
For 'Place Bets' I do recommend the
TAB, but you have further choice in
Australia between states. You can have
different accounts in NSW - Qld -
Vic - Tas etc. These with the TAB
are great because they accept 'Place
Only
Bets'
Take a close look at bookies who
operate out of The Northern Territory...
With my method, if you are at a location
where 'Place Only Bets' are not
possible, I suggest in my book, you look
at following my Diabolical Staking
Plan using 'The Dutch Bet Method'
- Just in case you don't know,
that's
choosing for example three horses with
anyone winning you will be
successful. This as against choosing one
horse to come 1st 2nd or 3rd.
The end result will be about the same.
here are the websites below to check out
joining:
http://www.tabonline.com.au
(Place Bets)
http://www.tab.com.au
(Place Bets)
http://www.racetab.com.au
(Place Bets)
http://www.sportingbet.com.au
(Place Bets)
http://www.isabet.com.au
https://www.sportsbet.com.au
Regarding ID -
You might want to check the following
link. This info will apply to any
bookmaker within Australia.
http://www.sportingbet.com.au/uipub/content.aspx?pid=id
THE RULES: -
This you should read through....
Click Here
I believe you don't have to
be present in Australia to join any of
the
above, BUT you will almost certainly be
required to submit 'proof of
identification' - This all comes under
new Australian Government Rules.
Lots of paperwork, but after that is
straight forward.
If you go with the TAB, you'll be able
to place your bets on aussie racing
either by phone or via the internet
using 'netbet'
I hope this is of some help for you.
Kind Regards
Malcolm MacLean
MACLEAN - Selections -
Info Here
GET THE
RIGHT PHONE NUMBERS!!!!
I get a lot of emails stating "... we
can't get the liquidity on Betfair for
Australian Racing AND/OR UK Racing.. "
OR
"What happens with your Diabolical
Staking Plan' when you get 9 - 10 or
12 successes and the bets are in the
thousands of GBP? How are we supposed to
place those types of bets?....
Ok, here's a little tip ......
There are plenty of bookmakers across
the planet that will take your bets,
even my bets. If you win all the time
you will get blocked. But no one wins
all the time. If I have a big bet (and
I'm not talking about
£5000 at BF) - I'll make a call. I will
look back to when I have used the
facility before and LOST. That's the guy
who's going to take the bet.
Here's the
article that can give you some ideas.
Do some further research yourself, and
search out the phone numbers of the
right bookie for the job. They exist in
the UK, USA, Australia, certainly Hong
Kong and Singapore.
MAKE ABSOLUTELY
SURE YOU ARE USING A LEGAL BOOKMAKER AND
THAT YOUR GAMBLING PRACTICE OR HABIT IS
LEGAL IN YOUR STATE/COUNTRY OR
TERRITORY.
ARTICLE:
Copyright The Daily Telegraph.
Matthew Tripp - Sportsbet - Darwin -
Australia
Fortunes won and lost
BIG bookie Matthew Tripp doesn't usually
have a worry in the world as he ambles
down the main street of Darwin on a
Saturday morning.
He'll grab a coffee, buy the paper and
chat to a few locals before waltzing
back to the office. It is a routine as
he prepares himself for the afternoon
onslaught.
But on a balmy morning in September,
Tripp's phone rings and the normally
relaxed stroll ends abruptly with the
bookie stopping dead in his tracks.
"I want to have $1million on the Hussler,''
the voice down the phone line says.
Tripp pauses, his mind processing the
very thought of possibly winning or
losing more than some people ever earn
in a lifetime. "I think we can do
business,'' he finally says.
For the next five minutes Tripp paces up
and down the street negotiating a price
with his client. After some debate, they
come to an agreement. Tripp recalled
this week how he accepted the bet at
$1.65 - risking $650,000 to possibly win
$1million.
Weekend Hussler, Australia's best horse,
won the Underwood Stakes with ease and
Tripp was forced to hand over the cash.
"I have a very good relationship with
that individual client. He rings me
when he wants a bet, we negotiate a
price and we go from there,'' Tripp
said. "That was the biggest single wager
I have taken this year, but there have
been smaller bets that would have
resulted in bigger payouts than that
one.
"I would be lying if I said I don't get
nervous but that's my job, how I live my
life - sometimes we win, sometimes we
lose.''
This is now a common occurrence for
heavyweight corporate bookies who have
made staggering fortunes by changing the
face of Australian punting. Like the
time when Michael Sullivan took on
champion Lonhro at his final race start
in the Queen Elizabeth Stakes in 2004.
He accepted a bet of $5million on the
black flash at the short quote of $1.20.
Lonhro lost and Sullivan won. In less
than a decade, these super-bookies have
built a $4billion betting empire from
their remote outpost in the Northern
Territory.
Their growth has been so spectacular
they are seen as a real threat to the
once impregnable TAB.
They dine at the best restaurants. They
play golf at some of the world's most
exotic courses.
Their presence has transformed the
Darwin Cup carnival into one of the most
glamorous events on the social calendar
because of the sport stars and A-list
celebrities brought to the Top End by
high-flying corporates.
Not even the global credit crunch has
slowed their huge growth. The punters
are the big winners as the corporates
try to outdo each other and offer the
best odds.
At the top of the pile is the
experienced Con Kafataris' Centrebet and
Sullivan's Sportingbet. The pair turned
over a whopping $1.3billion and
$1.35billion respectively last financial
year.
Centrebet, a publicly listed company,
started operating in Poland this
year. It plans to expand into another
European country next March. Sullivan
wrote 165,000 tickets alone on Melbourne
Cup Day last month and his business
continues to grow at 20 per cent a year.
Closing in on the leading pair is Matt
Tripp's Sportsbet. Tripp's company
sponsored the Australian Masters Golf
tournament in Melbourne last weekend and
is expected to turn over more than
$1.5billion next year.
"Four years ago we turned over
$50million. This year we're aiming for
$1.5billion, but that mark could even
reach $1.6billion,'' Tripp said.
Michael and Alan Eskander's Betstar,
Mark Morrissey's Betchoice and Sean
Bartholomew's RacingOdds.com are also
some of the other heavy hitters who
continue to trade in the millions in
sports and racing.
In a showdown that is as fierce as it is
unsustainable, these Northern
Territory-based companies have taken on
the TAB and offer unprecedented rewards
for punters' loyalty.
Free bets and holidays have been offered
as part of an advertising blitz since
rules in NSW were relaxed in September.
Billboards and full-page newspaper ads
have been taken out as companies try to
win new customers.
Bookmaker Tom Waterhouse is one of the
leading bagmen in the country and on
track to turn over $250million. But not
even his personal milestone would make a
ripple with his corporate cousins.
ARTICLE:
Copyright The Daily Telegraph.
The point of
the above article is for you to know -
you can get the bets placed, and with
some ease.
MM
This is NOT Business
Opportunity OR An Investment Opportunity
This is
Horse Racing and Gambling
It's important to remember: Horse Racing
Is Gambling - It is never a business or
an investment - It Is Gambling.
Avoid all Prediction Software where it is
implied that the said software is 'An
Investment' - It's not, It's Gambling.
No One can predict the outcome of any
race meeting:
My Selections are based on my book ' My
Mathematical Formula' and have a high
rate of success. The basis for making
the selections is neither difficult to
do, nor complicated. Joining this
service only saves you the time in
making the selections. Reading and
understanding 'My Mathematical Formula'
will give anyone the same results.
VERY
IMPORTANT YOU READ THIS
....about
My Mathematical Formula
- This publication WAS 'PROOFED'
by the Australian Commission of Consumer
Affairs back around 1990 and whilst this
'body' cannot by LAW endorse a
product, they found NO FAULTS
with my advertising OR The Product
itself and I had FULL Permission
to advertise and make this product
available. THIS is a FACT and is
on record..........
This is NOT a Get
Rich Quick scheme and you are not going
to get promises of millions of dollars
over night or anything equally as
stupid. - This is a serious book for
those interested in gambling and Horse
Racing.....
This
Book
- originally published in 1978 and then
republished in the early 80's - My
Mathematical Formula has been designed
For Place Betting On Horses or Using
the Dutch Method - It is NOT a
typical accumulator type of plan or
something silly and already known like
that...... - It has nothing to do with
increasing your stake money after a
loser etc. - There is a Simple, Sensible
and Clever Selection Process also
supplied along with two other Staking
Plans unique to THIS E-book. - ANYONE
can follow this even my 6 year old
daughter could do it.....
My
Mathematical Formula by Malcolm MacLean
THE INITIAL
BASIS -
THIS
IS HOW THE DIABOLICAL STAKING PLAN
WORKS -
 Go
here
Always
keep firmly in mind Horse Racing is
Gambling - It is not a business or an
investment
 |
Read the amazing true story of how a university
student completing his statistics assignment accidentally
discovered how to safely turn $15 into $157.28 in one
afternoon by betting on the horses!
In his down-to-earth, sincere and straight to the point
style, Mohammed Ali guides you through the entire process of
how to go about making a living by simply betting on the
horses - even if you have no previous betting experience at
all. In simple steps, you’ll learn how to:
• Safely turn $15 into $157.28 or $40 into $419.41
• Double your betting bank 12-14 times a year
• Collect a dividend from 96.35% of all your bets.
To learn exactly how he does it
Click Here Now! |
|
Earn Over A Million Dollars A
Year Without A Website! |
 |
"It's amazing that
most people's lives seem to be
getting dressed in the clothes
that they buy for work, driving
through morning traffic in a car
they are still paying for in
order to get to the job they
need, so they can pay for the
clothes, pay for the car, and
pay for the home they leave
empty all day in order to afford
to live in it"...
Does this sound like you?
You can change your situation
today. You are just
one click away!
Take a NEW direction!
Malcolm MacLean
|
My
Mathematical Formula by Malcolm MacLean
>
My
Mathematical Formula by Malcolm MacLean
>
FairBot 2.6
-
NEW! -
With MacLean -
International
FREE
Download
FairBot 2.6
-
NEW! -
With MacLean -
International
FREE
Download
(It's best if all 8 run) With TAB and
ISAbet NTD if less than 8 runners
For those not so
interested in Place Only bets. With My
Mathematical Formula you can use my plan
with Dutch Bets (On success the end
result is the same.) This Fairbot software and My Diabolical Staking Plan
can easily be used together to get the
results you want with minimum fuss or
work. You can download the free demo and
try it out for yourself. One of the
great advantages using Fairbot is the
speed and accuracy of calculating the
Dutch amounts in real live time.
-
Download the FREE
software Demo.
Add the totals to my spreadsheets and
you have the same results. Then just
work on the next bet.
Download the FREE
software Demo.
FairBot – Betfair
Trading
Software
Get ahead of the market
and stay ahead, with FairBot –
the state of the art Betfair
Trading Software that puts you
in instant control, whatever the
market, whatever the bet, giving
you the maximum profits with the
minimum effort.
Download
the free 15-day trial in zip
archive (2.08Mb) |
|
FairBot 2.6
-
NEW! -
Collaborating with MacLean -
International |
|
FairBot includes a wide range of
features to make your exchange
betting quicker and easier,
including one click bet
submission and real time price
movements refreshed every 0.1
seconds – that’s quicker than
Betfair itself! This incredible
speed is perfect for in-running
bets and quick turnaround
arbitrage betting, because you
can react instantly whenever the
market changes. FairBot Betfair
Trading Software has been
designed to work with you and
your exchange betting style, to
make sure you can make the
trades you want, when you want,
at the price you want. |
Simple Management
FairBot Betfair Software
arranges all the complexities of
exchange betting into a
simple-to-operate, user-friendly
interface that puts you way
ahead of the competition.
FairBot offers both classical
Grid and popular Ladder
interfaces. On a ladder
interface all prices are
displayed vertically allowing
you to place or cancel bets with
just one mouse click and amend
the odds of unmatched bets by
simply dragging and dropping.
Instant Calculation
FairBot will calculate the
amounts required to equalize
your profit or loss across all
selections, to back multiple
selections in the same event for
an equal profit, or to get
maximum profit on your betting
exchange trades. You can even
set opposite bets to only be
placed if your corresponding bet
was matched, so you’re
guaranteed a balanced position.
Always a Step Ahead
The FairBot Betfair software is
constantly updated and upgraded.
This ensures you stay at the
cutting edge of the
ever-evolving exchange betting
markets. And as a FairBot
subscriber you’ll automatically
receive all these upgrades as
soon as they’re released, for a
full twelve months. What’s more,
full Betfair API support means
we’re guaranteed to stay right
up to date with any changes
Betfair introduce.
A Free Trial
We’re so convinced you’ll enjoy
a more pleasurable, more
profitable exchange betting
experience with FairBot Betfair
Software, that we’ll let you try
it completely free for 15 days.
If you agree that it gives you a
unique edge in this highly
competitive field, then you can
enjoy that advantage for a whole
year – complete with all
upgrades – for just $99.
More Info >
FairBot - Online
Sports Betting Software
FairBot 2.6
-
NEW! -
Collaborating with MacLean -
International
Overview
FairBot is state of
the art Betfair Trading Software
which provides an enhanced
betting interface to the leading
Betting Exchange, Betfair.
FairBot considerably enhances
the services provided by Betfair
through the incorporation of
real-time price movement charts,
market analysis, information
displays and trading tools. All
of this combines to deliver a
level of service currently
unparalleled in today's on-line
betting environment.
It allows you to place
single bets, or trades,
on Betfair instantly, using just
one mouse click. There is no
need for waiting, no bet
confirmation or changing of
prices or amounts, although
these facilities are there if
required.
Download
the free 15-day trial in zip
archive (2.08Mb) Fairbot's wide range of
sophisticated features will give
you an enormous advantage over
other Exchange Users and should
enable you to turn that
advantage into a profit.
FairBot lets you to refresh
the event information, including
the odds, every 0.1 second
to stay on top of the market.
For betting exchange traders
FairBot offers so called "Smart
Bets" that allow you to trade on
Betfair with ease and the
maximum possible speed. Using
"Smart Bets" FairBot generates
the required bets to make a
profit, (if matched), regardless
of the result.
The simple and easy to use
Windows XP & Vista-compatible
interface is very similar to
Betfair which should make your
betting comfortable and
profitable. All the odds cells
are active (rather than just two
middle columns on Betfair)
giving you additional
flexibility for your backing and
laying.
Features:
- The Ladder Interface
- This allows the user to
display prices vertically,
and instantly react to
market movements by placing
or cancelling a bet with
just one mouse click.
- "Keep bets"
support. This allows the
user to have unmatched bets
automatically transferred to
in play bets.
- Ability to refresh any
event to as low as 0.1
second intervals, much
quicker than Betfair itself.
- Stake buttons for
the Ladder interface,
including the NET button.
This allows you to set and
use predefined stakes when
betting or trading on the
Ladder interface.
- Ability to place single
bets or trades with only
single mouse click.
- "Greening Up"
feature - This allows you to
equalize a current profit or
a current loss across all
selections.
- Price movement charts
directly on the main screen
for each contender.
- "Moving Average" and
"Bollinger Bands" charts on
contender details screen.
- "Fill or Kill"
tool for single bets and for
trades. It allows you to
cancel unmatched bets
automatically after a
predefined number of
seconds.
- Conditional betting -
place opposite bet (Back or
Lay) only if a previous bet
was matched.
- Dutching feature
(this is a technique for
Backing multiple selections
in the same event for an
equal profit if any one of
them wins).
- "Drag & Drop" feature
for the Ladder - this allows
the user to amend the odds
of unmatched bets by
dragging bets up or down the
ladder.
- Set your own Back and
Lay stakes and profit
margin.
- Bet on any odds market,
including "in-play" events.
- Ability to cancel all
Unmatched bets using single
mouse click.
- Optional bet
confirmation and checking
screens before and after
placing bets.
- "Smart Bets" allow you
to calculate stake to get
maximum profit on your
betting exchange trades.
- Display the 1st 2nd and
3rd Favourites as dictated
by the market on Betfair.
- A countdown clock
showing the time remaining
before the scheduled start
of an event.
- Full Betfair API
support. This protects
FairBot from any future
changes made to the design
of the Betfair web site.
- Asian Handicap support.
- Internet traffic
compression.
- Friendly user interface.
- Ability to click on any
odds cell rather than just
the normal two middle
columns on Betfair.
System Requirements:
- Operation system:
Windows 98/Me or Windows
NT/2000/XP/2003/Vista
- Processor: Pentium or
higher
- RAM: 128 Mb
- Disk space: 10 Mb
- Internet connection
speed: 64 Kb/sec
- Screen resolution: 1024
x 768 pixels
- Mouse
We're offering this product
and all future upgrades for a
period of 12 months.
Download the free 15-day trial
in zip archive (2.08Mb) |
A lot of people judging by my
correspondence, don't want to just Place
Bet using
My Diabolical
Staking Plan. In many
cases they don't want to even use
Betfair.
You can use the Dutch Bet Method
of betting with the
DSP
too. One of the best products you will
find on the internet for this is
Don't Lose Your
Shirt. This product
tells you exactly how to make those
Dutch Bet Selections and comes with the
correct software that calculates how
much to bet on each horse.
Don't Lose Your
Shirt
- s a very good way to select the
right horses and use with
My Diabolical
Staking Plan check it out ...
Here>
End
THE INITIAL
BASIS
THIS
IS HOW THE DIABOLICAL STAKING PLAN
WORKS.
"....I've achieved what people have been
reaching out after for centuries in the
development of
The Diabolical
Staking Plan.
Simple, Straight Forward And just two
steps in front of what you have already
been doing for years...
Except this time,
you'll profit.
YOU
ARE NEVER INCREASING YOUR STAKE MONEY.
If your bet is for £10 it will always be
that on every bet you make, £10 - what I
achieved with this plan is something
people have been dreaming of for a long,
long time, it's level stakes, it's
percentage of a bank, it's
accumulative......and will pull in 100
times what you get now...This is an
approach no one has developed or even
thought of before and with safety built
into it for when you hit that loser
The
Diabolical Staking Plan has nothing
whatsoever to do with increasing your
stake money or even worse, doubling up
on your stake money. It is using level
stakes in a unique way.
You out
there are already going to place £10 on
every bet you make , so will I. But if I
am successful and you are also
successful, my winnings will be 100
times higher than yours. If we both
lose, we'll both have lost the same
stake amount.
You never have to quit the way you bet
now if you don't want to.... just try
this along side... Work a few things out
for yourself... Remember you are
selecting a horse to run a place, NOT a
win... It's not hard to do at all..."
My
Mathematical Formula in the very
first chapter will show you how to make
the correct selections following simple
and easy to understand rules. This will
give you an immediate success rate of
between 80% and 90%. -
Details here
Betting Systems - The
betting industry's professionals use:
In these current times of the 'global credit crunch', it's time that
you started profiting from your online betting.
Details here >
Don't Lose Your
Shirt - Very good way this
one, you should check it out ...
Here>
Do a friend a favor and pass this article
onto them!
Making the right selections
- Why we may differ in our choice.
A problem that appears common over how we make the right
selections is something people are continually asking me about or commenting
about, so I'm giving this some thought as to how I can better explain what
it is you should be doing.
There are rules/guidelines that I follow as you know. Those who have the
book already know these rules/guidelines. people often email me and say, yes
okay, but the prices are always too short. Or how exactly do we know we have
the same runner you have selected for yourself. Or how do we know from all
of your free selections which are the ones to back. Yes this is tricky for
me to explain and for you to understand.
This is the part where it becomes very difficult for me to put across and to
make it understood. First up, this page is part of a free site for anyone going to my
website and is there as a general guide. Not every one has my book yet.
Second, those who do have my book, basically know what they should be
looking for and know how to narrow down all of the general free selections.
This process has to be flexible enough, even following rules and guidelines
but it must also allow for personal judgment. Rules that are rigid or
systematic and not a little flexible are never going to work, every one
following that are always going to select the same horse and that's what
every other punter in the country will be doing too. This is a bit of a
learning curve I understand, but we have to learn it.
Maybe I need to remove the word 'rules' and replace it with 'method' or some
other description or simply say 'guidelines'.
As I always say, you must use judgment and common sense - and you must learn
the process. That's all very well for me to say, but we all learn in
different ways. The point is, you need to learn and feel comfortable about
your selections your way.
For example I have given rules/guidelines that the recent form should be
something like 2-2-1 or 3-2-2 or 3-2-1 or 2-1-1 and so on...you know what I
mean. The point being, in the last 3 runs that horse has been placed. All
other runners in that race don't have much form and probably not that much
of a chance in this race. In your own opinion following my suggested method
of making the selection.
Or in other words, the rest don't have such good form. The price won't
always be short and if it is, bypass the race, just move on to the next.
Very often I see a horse that has form 322 or something similar, but it's
not fancied for any number of reasons, but I still may select that horse,
because I feel there's not much else running anyway that looks that good to
beat it.
But the general consensus is, some horse in this race with the form 554 is
fancied, but I see no reason why it should be fancied. I'd take a bet on the
horse with better form 322. Even if it doesn't quite fit all the rules and
guidelines I suggest. That's a personal choice.
Often times, very often that horse with the 322 form But Not The Fav - is
successful and at 5/1 or 10/1 or whatever price...routinely that is the
case. My thoughts are this, I'm looking for what I think will get a place,
not necessarily win, I don't care if it wins ....I just want it placed.
I want to be successful with a run of 10 races, that's always in the back of
my mind. I'm no different to you, I also don't want short prices
particularly, I want to achieve my run of 10 with £10,000 at the end of it.
Doesn't always come off of course, but it does quite frequently over time.
Horse racing is not that precise, it's gambling. If it were a business, we
could predict better no doubt, but it's not, it's gambling.
Now, when I am going through each race, not for my free selections on your
website, but the one I am interested in myself. I may interpret the form
differently perhaps than the way you might interpret the form. This is not a
dead set systematic approach we are using, judgment comes in too. This means
there is no way of checking past results in a database as such. Because that
info isn't in any database. Every race is different. The rules and
guidelines that are given are the closest I can get to making good
selections.
As an example I'm going to look at an imaginary race and attempt to show how
I would make my selection and how I would interpret this race
Horse 1 - form - 21111
Horse 2 - form - 77765
Horse 3 - form - 32278
Horse 4 - form - 76322
Horse 5 - form - 76576
Horse 6 - form - 78376
Horse 7 - form - 11287
Horse 8 - form - 434352
Following my rules to the letter, which no one can really do and this is
where your own judgment and knowledge comes in. The choice would be a fairly
obvious on following exact rules. Horse number one is the choice. But is
it? - I wouldn't make that selection, but others might.
I would look at this race in this way. Horse 1 has won 4 races in a row and
a 2nd previous to that - he is the top weight in this race. I would
first of all be thinking, Does the trainer really want this horse to win? -
that's the first question in my mind. The second question would be. This
horse has won 4 straight races, what's the chance here of him winning 5
straight races? It happens of course but that's the question in my mind.
However, the rest of the runners look fairly ordinary. Horse 8 could be in
with a chance. Horse 4 looks pretty good here too. Nicely drawn, up in the
weights but not too high. I would look back at Horse 1 and I'll be thinking,
okay, this might really win. The price with form like that is going to be
odds on as you know. So, it probably will win, But my choice for the race
would be Horse 4.
The chances are horse 1 will win, I don't really care, but I'm confident
between the rest that horse 4 will be placed and he's my selection not horse
1 or horse 8.
Now this is how I would look at this race, Horse 1 is odds on but horse 4 is
at maybe 2/1 or 3/1 or 4/1 and if it is, it's an attractive place bet.
Whatever the price, it should get placed under these conditions that we all
can see from above. The rest of the UK/Aus are backing horse 1 for a win
bet.
Okay, lets see how this imaginary race panned out with imaginary results:
Horse 8 - Won at 6/1
Horse 7 - 2nd at 15/1
Horse 4 came in 3rd and paid 4/1 paying £1.70 for the place bet- while horse
1 the hot favorite came in last of all. That turned out to be a good
and successful bet at a good price on this occasion.
I see this happen time and time again in the UK and also Australia,
everywhere actually. But that is how I would have made my selection in this
race. You on the other hand may have chosen horse 1. I don't think anyone
following my guidelines would have taken horse 8. If you had chosen horse 1
and the price would have been low TAB maybe 1,05 Belfair 1.10 etc. That's
where I say, don't bet move on and find the next race.
Every race is different this is where a little judgment and knowledge,
experience if you like comes in. This is why we seem to make different
selections on occasions, based on fixed rules and guidelines. Other times,
we'll easily see the right choice together.
I don't believe these rules can be that rigid, rigid in such a way,
everyone is going to choose the same horse. Most people do follow such
stringent rules and that's why the price gets so short and unworkable in
part with my plan. The whole of the country is backing the same horse.
I hope I am making some sense with all this. The rules in my book are to the
point, sensible and should be followed, but should also be treated as
guidelines which must be flexible to allow for some common sense decision
making as explained in my example above.
Do a friend a favor and pass this article
onto them!
 The
Shortcut That Sidesteps All The
Hard Work,
Time & Effort…
I would like to let you in on the
massive opportunity the betting market
holds for everyone from the moody
teenager to the cheery pensioner. Anyone
can make money from home with Betfair
with no start up costs at that.
this revolutionary system will enable
anyone to make money online without
learning any specialist techniques
whatsoever. - By simply copying the
simple step-by-step formula that I have
laid out for you in techno babble free
Format anyone can create, in just a
couple of hours, an income stream that
will continue to make them money day
after day...for months...even years. -
Read more here>
SECRET
FOOTBALL BETTING SYSTEM MAKING £418 A
DAY!
If you want to know how you can make
regular, consistent winnings on the
football then you’re definitely going to
need this.
All the information is set out in easy
to understand step-by-step instructions
or information - Even if you don’t have
any experience with a football betting
system… you can still use the systems to
make Tax Free, easy money every week
from the bookmakers.
I Guarantee All My Systems or Your Money
Back!!! >>
http://backforplace.com/products/football.html
Your order is protected by my full
unconditional 56-day money back
guarantee. I know you want to access the
same betting secrets that will have you
making tax-free cash profits from day 1.
And I know that you have the best chance
to do it with my BF Loophole system. But
I want to ensure you are fully
protected, which is why I am offering
you a full 56 day test drive of my
betting system with absolutely no-risk
to you at all.
If for any reason, whatsoever, you are
unhappy, just let me know and your
entire fee will be refunded. 100%
unconditional, no questions asked and no
bad feelings.
READ MORE>
Supreme
Handicap
Released June 2009
...Supreme handicap is an action packed
Step -By-Step tutorial Guide exposing
closely
Guarded Trade Secrets
so you can start
profiting from the word go
click here
Mohammed Ali - Want to
learn a good way for selecting runners
for Place Betting?
Click Here
Supreme
Handicap
Released June 2009
...Supreme handicap is an action packed
Step -By-Step tutorial Guide exposing
closely
Guarded Trade Secrets
so you can start
profiting from the word go
click here
END
 The
FFF Plan extra!
It's been tried, tested and selling for
over three years! But we've improved it,
and this even more profitable horse
racing system can be yours.
Must read>
The
Shortcut That Sidesteps All The
Hard Work,
Time & Effort…
I would like to let you in on the
massive opportunity the betting market
holds for everyone from the moody
teenager to the cheery pensioner. Anyone
can make money from home with Betfair
with no start up costs at that.
this revolutionary system will enable
anyone to make money online without
learning any specialist techniques
whatsoever. - By simply copying the
simple step-by-step formula that I have
laid out for you in techno babble free
Format anyone can create, in just a
couple of hours, an income stream that
will continue to make them money day
after day...for months...even years. -
Read more here>
SECRET
FOOTBALL BETTING SYSTEM MAKING £418 A
DAY!
If you want to know how you can make
regular, consistent winnings on the
football then you’re definitely going to
need this.
All the information is set out in easy
to understand step-by-step instructions
or information - Even if you don’t have
any experience with a football betting
system… you can still use the systems to
make Tax Free, easy money every week
from the bookmakers.
I Guarantee All My Systems or Your Money
Back!!! >>
http://backforplace.com/products/football.html
Your order is protected by my full
unconditional 56-day money back
guarantee. I know you want to access the
same betting secrets that will have you
making tax-free cash profits from day 1.
And I know that you have the best chance
to do it with my BF Loophole system. But
I want to ensure you are fully
protected, which is why I am offering
you a full 56 day test drive of my
betting system with absolutely no-risk
to you at all.
If for any reason, whatsoever, you are
unhappy, just let me know and your
entire fee will be refunded. 100%
unconditional, no questions asked and no
bad feelings.
READ MORE>
Bad Betting Habits
So you want to kick your bad betting
habits and replace them with new
resolve, new discipline and new
patience? Well, sounds like a great idea
to me.
The key question, though, is: How
best do you achieve such a state of
betting bliss? Like everything else in
these busy times, it's a matter of
setting goals, picking your spots, and
making sure that every invested dollar
achieves maximum return.
In this series of articles, I am
going to take you through 100 betting
ideas. They will cover the full spectrum
of racing selection and investment. Once
you have studied the 100 ideas 1 am
confident you will be a better and,
ultimately, a richer, punter.
The beginning of a fresh year is just
the right time to get your 'house' in
order to start the long haul to punting
respectability.
(1) SETTING TARGETS
The targets that any punter sets have to
be within the realms of reality. If
you're a $10 punter don't set yourself
the goal of winning thousands of
dollars. Estimate your annual turnover
and then aim at winning 20 per cent. If
you bet $50 a week over, say, 50 weeks
that's a turnover of $2500. Your target
for profit should be 20 per cent of
that, which is $500. Most punters will
turnover a couple of hundred dollars a
week. In that case the annual turnover
is $10,000 and the 20 per cent target is
$2000.
(2) MAKE FORM STUDY A HABIT
To make any sense out of racing, you
have to make form study a habit. Decide,
before you start anything, how many days
a week you are going to bet, and put
aside special time to study the form for
the meetings you are going to cover. And
remember that you are going to have to
budget for 'extras' like form guides,
videos, magazines, any computerization
you use, transport to and from the
tracks - all that sort of thing (even to
allowing for the drinks and food you eat
at the track or at the TAB). Get as much
in the way of form information at your
disposal as you can. Knowledge is power.
(3) THE RIGHT FRAME OF MIND
Panic never won a war. Panic never wins
the betting war, either. Once your have
set yourself goals, chosen your bets,
and decided on an approach, don't panic
if things do not go as planned. If you
have faith in what you are doing - in
your selection process and the
management approach you are using to bet
the selections - then panic is uncalled
for. Keep calm.
(4) MAKING HAY WHILE THE SUN SHINES
We've all had those days when everything
seems to go right. Yet how many of us
truly capitalize on the sunshine days?
Not many, I bet. The trouble is that
punters are always under betting winners
and over betting losers.
This is why staking is important. Your
armory should include the capacity to
upgrade the size of your bets when you
enter the 'supreme confidence' phase.
This is the time when you know that
everything seems right, and that it's
your day to make a killing. One extra
great day per year can lift your profits
enormously.
(5) GET YOURSELF A STYLE
There are so many different approaches
to selecting and betting. You have to
choose one that suits your personal
style. It's no good taking on a staking
plan that might call for big bets if you
haven't got the stomach to hand over the
big bills. Tailor your cloth to suit
your needs, and what you can handle
psychologically. You must develop a
style of betting that suits you 100 per
cent. If you hate quinellas and
trifectas, don't bother with them. Stick
with what makes you comfortable.
(6) FINDING THE RIGHT RACES
Ah, easier said than done. Too many
punters simply bet too many races. If
you've set goals, and you have your
selection method in hand, you should
know which races to choose. Study the
past to find the clues to the future.
Which races have served you best? Which
types of races have been dead losses?
Stick with the winners, axe the losers.
(7) DON'T MISS A HORSE
When you study form, make sure you study
it properly. A common failing is to get
a 'fancy' for a particular horse and
allow that attachment to cloud your
judgment. Go through the form of every
horse in the race. Many punters even
start from the rank outsiders and work
down to the favorite. In this way, they
can avoid the temptation to write off
the long shots because they just can't
be bothered looking at their form.
(8) THE MAJOR FACTORS
Certain elements always have to be
assessed when you are doing the form.
They are Class, Weight, Form, Fitness.
These can be called the key factors of
form. You must determine if a horse is
up to the class of the race; you must
decide if he can carry his weight and
win; you must decide if his form is good
enough; and finally you have to assess
whether a horse is fit to win. Always
bear these things in mind, and answer
each point objectively. A simple 'tick
test' can be used against each factor
for each horse. Why not make up your own
ruled sheet and have hundreds printed at
your nearest quick-print shop?
(9) NEW FORM, OLD FORM
When you put a horse through the form
'wringer' you should put more emphasis
on recent form than on old form. One
Brisbane professional says he puts a
limit of 18 months on form lines, and
always takes more notice of what a horse
has done in the latest six months. But
sometimes you can find the key to a race
through a bit of old form, so it can
never be ruled out entirely.
(10) ABILITY AT THE DISTANCE
One of the questions you must ask
yourself is whether a selection can run
the distance of the race. In most cases,
the answer will be clear. The horse will
have previous winning form over the
trip. Often, though, the answer is not
so clear. The horse may be untried at
the distance. This is when you have to
use your skill and judgment. Even if a
horse is a winner at the journey, he may
now face a rise in class and you have to
decide if he can meet this class
challenge and still get the distance.
Then there's the question of weight. A
horse may win over 1200m with 51 and
52kg but can it carry 56 or 57 kg and
win? Take a lot of care on the distance
factor. Try to imagine the race in your
mind. Look at the other runners to judge
for early speed and late-closers.
(11) FOLLOW THE RIGHT STABLES
It goes without saying that some
trainers and jockeys dominate racing. We
all know who they are. It is especially
important that in major races you give a
lot of thought to the entries from the
leading stables. History shows they will
win a significant number of Group 1, 2
and 3 races.
(12) IF DOUBTFUL, DON'T BET
Punters are always wracked by doubts and
fear. This is normal. Even the most
seasoned and professional punter will be
assailed by worries of various kinds.
Some races will end up with you being
confused by doubt. Will 1 bet, won't 1
bet? If there are doubts in your mind,
if you can't really choose between
various runners, then simply stay out.
It won't hurt to miss a race or two.
There will always be plenty more. Never
be afraid of missing a winner. You will
avoid backing more losers than you will
miss backing winners. Caution is good
sense in these instances of doubt.
(13) STAY COMMITTED
Once you have decided on the manner in
which you choose your selections, and on
how you will bet them, stay committed to
that course. Don't be sidetracked by
someone else's tips or urgings. Bet your
horses and leave it at that.
There is little long-term value in
entrusting your cash to your mate's
tips. If you've put in the hard work
yourself, you should be quite satisfied
that you have done enough and bet
accordingly.
(14) BET AGAINST THE MASS
Perhaps the only way any punter is going
to make a long-term profit is by gaining
value with the invested dollar. This
means that you will have to bet against
the public if you are to have any
chance. Don't be suckered into backing
under-valued horses; there's no future
in it. Remember that if the bookies are
posting a horse at evens (50 per cent)
they will have given it a true value of
less than that, probably at least 6/4
(40 per cent). That means you are
accepting poor value if you accept their
even money. Make sure any bet you make
is a value bet according to your
informed research and analysis.
(15) MAKE YOUR OWN MARKET
It's not so hard to make your own
betting market. You can do it off the
top of your head. Price your main
fancies first. Ask yourself what price
you would be prepared to take about your
top pick? Would you back it at 6/4 or
would that seem foolish? Does 5/2 make
you feel comfortable? If so, make that
the cut-off point, or perhaps even a
half point longer, for safety's sake. If
this approach doesn't appeal, then look
for a mechanical way of assessment.
Allot points and work out the price that
way.
(16) OVER BETTING DANGERS
Never over bet. Chain betting or
reckless race-to-race betting will never
get you anywhere. You have to pick your
spots. Keep the number of bets under
control. You don't have to restrict
yourself to just one. But something
around 5 or 6 should be enough for the
day. That amount gives you enough action
and the chance of survival.
How To Place Bet On Favorites For A
Living >
Article by Martin Dowling
RESULTS -
Click for results
|
