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Articles
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Member Area
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THE INITIAL
BASIS
THIS
IS HOW THE DIABOLICAL STAKING PLAN
WORKS.
"....I've achieved what people have been
reaching out after for centuries in the
development of
The Diabolical
Staking Plan.
Simple, Straight Forward And just two
steps in front of what you have already
been doing for years...
Except this time,
you'll profit.
YOU
ARE NEVER INCREASING YOUR STAKE MONEY.
If your bet is for £10 it will always be
that on every bet you make, £10 - what I
achieved with this plan is something
people have been dreaming of for a long,
long time, it's level stakes, it's
percentage of a bank, it's
accumulative......and will pull in 100
times what you get now...This is an
approach no one has developed or even
thought of before and with safety built
into it for when you hit that loser
The
Diabolical Staking Plan has nothing
whatsoever to do with increasing your
stake money or even worse, doubling up
on your stake money. It is using level
stakes in a unique way.
You out
there are already going to place £10 on
every bet you make , so will I. But if I
am successful and you are also
successful, my winnings will be 100
times higher than yours. If we both
lose, we'll both have lost the same
stake amount.
You never have to quit the way you bet
now if you don't want to.... just try
this along side... Work a few things out
for yourself... Remember you are
selecting a horse to run a place, NOT a
win... It's not hard to do at all..."
My
Mathematical Formula in the very
first chapter will show you how to make
the correct selections following simple
and easy to understand rules. This will
give you an immediate success rate of
between 80% and 90%. -
Details here
-----------------------------------------
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Written by Malcolm
MacLean
Contact me: |
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Dear
Struggling Punter,
Let me start by
asking you a simple question. Have you ever wondered if there is a REAL
answer to being a consistent big winner at the bookies?
If I could prove to
you within the next couple of minutes that there is a REAL answer, Would
I be right in thinking that the smart punter inside you will stop to
hear me out?
I guarantee that
you’ll discover a whole new world of successful, easy betting
just waiting for you.
This 'revolutionary'
service is nothing you have seen before. It delivers massive ROI,
it returns an average 9.3 points profit and
it takes less than 5 minutes of your time each day.
Are You Ready For The Proof?

The chosen few who
actually DO and HAVE finally come to their senses, deciding to make a
real change for themselves. I'm not putting an entry limit on this
unlike other tipsters do, mainly for their sales reasons. I have decided
to put a time limit on instead, this is due to the odd prices and when
these hit a warning marker we will cease sales permanently.
The good news is that
if you are only just reading this you'll be glad to know that it is
still open.
This service will
soon close its doors for good so please be warned. It will never re-open
so if you're waiting, don't make it too long if you really want this
impressive elite punter club card.
What are those who
miss out NEVER going to enjoy:
 |
Daily Quality Tips
Delivered Via Email!
11:30 (GMT UK Time)
Weekdays.
Before 11:00 (GMT UK
time) Weekends.
Time Of The Race &
Name Of The Horse.
Guaranteed places with
additional backs/lays. |
Check the screenshot below. You will see a Massive
return of £37.33. You're
probably thinking "great, a lucky guess" but, you'd be wrong! Value
Tipster discovers these kind of results daily, sometimes 3 - 4 of
them.


There is nothing
illegal about this service, though it is viewed as morally wrong in the
eyes of bookmakers all over. Why? Because they cannot "shut this
down", "Turn the tables" and they certainly can't "limit
this activity" in their favour.
Following a secret
service has many fantastic benefits and if you have had the rare
experience of a good tipster service I'm sure you'll agree. The only
trouble is, I've noticed a few rogue traders have conned and tricked
many punters leaving you with a nasty experience but wiser.
I am absolutely
certain that you won't win everytime. Remember, you are gambling and if
your looking for a 100% can't ever fail service then STOP, you won't
ever find one. We have a very small but expert team with eyes and ears
from up and down the country.
With
Value Tipster,
you use low stakes, so when you do lose on a couple of races it doesn't
hurt, infact you won't even feel it. The success behind this is simple.
The group providing you the tips are the punters in the know. The few
people in the circle of trust. If anybody knows who is going to win when
they "shouldn't" it's them. With the Value Tipster you will
turn £10 into a few hundred within a couple of weeks.
I am giving you
60
Days to Free Trial this service, in this time you should see
the results that you have been waiting for for so long. Why?! Because I
know that you wont be disappointed with your future results using this
amazing service.

YES... It’s that simple
Wouldn't it be nice to spend 10
minutes at your computer knowing that for minimal effort you could
maximise your bank immensely.
Better still, imagine.....
Having the confidence in just low
stakes that profit by around 15X your stake daily. Knowing that if you
do lose it won't bring you crashing down to zero or worse.
This amazing REALITY
is just minutes away...


There is no risk
involved joining the Value Tipster Service. The 60 Day Money
Back Guarantee gives you 2 months of free trialing if you feel dubious. I
totally understand if you do, because I was once in your shoes and very
sceptical of "BIG WINS".
I have been winning
with horse racing for well over 15 years. Winning because of one simple
fact. I have the best in the business telling me who will and won't do
the job. You will no longer bet blind or bet kind (to your bookie). You
will have only the very highest quality tips from the track.
I make a nice little
earner from these exact tips myself. It might seem unethical or morally
wrong. You can call me a cheat, tell me that i'm a disgrace to gambling,
say what you will but, before you do absolutely anything, hear me out
first...
My early years of
gambling weren't the most profitable, I lost more than half of the time,
I won now and again, just enough to keep me interested but I never had
anything to show after all the losses. I knew that being at the track
was much more important than reading just form guides. I started going
to the races aged 19 and to cut a long story short I then got to know an
incredible group of punters very well and they shared something with me
that changed my whole life.
After a few years
together giving tips to a few close punters we decided to make it open
to around 200 people or so. After a bit of research we decided that this
was the best way. We considered the phone tips but all came to the
conclusion that this option was a much more expensive choice for
customers. We called it value for a reason but if you think that quality
and performance is anywhere close to how low the price is, i'm ready to
prove you wrong.

Are you sick of having
to go through all the different papers, form and unreliable tipster
services? The Value Tipster is here to stop this once and for
all. I guarantee that if you're not happy after 60 Days following this
elite service, I will refund you every penny.
The
Value Tipster
is perfect for novice punters, right the way through to the experts. It
doesn't just win money, it makes life easier by saving you valuable
time. It's called Value Tipster because you get all this with
the added bonus of it costing next to nothing.
You are going to
start making huge amounts of TAX FREE cash from the very smallest of
stakes.
The service is
designed for even the smallest of banks, as your bank increases so too
can your stakes over the weeks. The result, a blossoming bank just
waiting to be cashed in by every lucky punter involved.
Why sit at your
computer for hours, struggling to place your bets each day, then watch
in frustration as they all roll in last.
You can confidently
let us do all the hard work, take the risks and spend all the time
involved, just clone my choices every day and together we will take
thousands from the bookies each and every month, with ease.

With
Value Tipster
guiding you through each successful day, you won't need to know a thing
about horse racing. If you do know a lot or think that you are
successful when it comes to horse racing then I dare you to try them
even more.
You will receive
daily emails on time, every time. If there are no selections you will
recieve an email with an explanation, I will never try to palm off some
silly tips just for the sake of it. This is where many other failed
punters go wrong.
For most days of the
year there will be tips for you to increase your bank significantly and
if you still aren't impressed by the performance over 2 months I'll hand
back every penny.
If you want to learn
the hard and COSTLY way because, you don't want to cheat the bookies and
stoop to their level, thats fine. I'll let you go and hit the bookies
now with your failed but fair way. Those of you who want to skip a few
steps and dodge some beginner - expert mistakes please read further and
check out the crazy proof waiting for you.
The
screenshot below shows odds of 23 and a Superb return of £44.00 from just 2 minutes work and a
£2 stake.



If you are worried
about only having a low bank to start with you really dont need to. You
can start with as little as £2 to £20 stakes. On average each
tip that we get is 10/1. This will turn the smallest of banks
into a bursting full bank within weeks.
We email you so
theres no need to call some over priced phone line waiting around for
unreliable and almost laughable tips. You will receive 1 email each day,
free of charge with actual guaranteed winning tips inside.
Start from as little
as £2 per tip and you will notice your smile grow huge
like the size and power of your bank.

If you remember me
telling you earlier about my beginner mistakes and under-par
introduction to horse racing betting. What changed my life around was
some punters who shared some advice with me. Back then there was no
internet community or quick and inexpensive method of alerting punters
in a workable way.
Don't get me wrong,
you're not going to be the first person I will have told this
information to but when you have a new car every year and your whole
life shines people start asking questions.
I have taken more
money from my bookmaker than I actually need and now its time for you to
do exactly the same. It's surprising how a few hundred pounds a week
goes totally unoticed to billionaire bookies. Thats why this service
works so well, nobody ever gets suspicious.

We want to prove to you all... Serious
'Real' Money can be made by placing our highly successful tips (7 days a
week) all you have to do is open an email and place the bets!!
Value Tipster

<Activate
Value Tipster Membership Now>
THIS
IS NOT A SYSTEM: The thing with most systems is that once
so many people start using them they become useless, outdated and lose
against the bookies ever changing strategies.
The best way to add
value for someone looking to make real money betting on horses is to
provide a Professional Tipster Service with selections provided by the
industries best..
These selections
won't make the average punter a millionaire, far from it but what it
will give you is the freedom to place bets and know that they aren't
going to fall flat on their faces. These tips will help a steady second
income grow and using the tips wisely should help turn your bank into a
small fortune over a few months.

The Answer To That Is Simple.
It goes against every other tipster
out there, whilst they are rushing through form, we are patiently
waiting for the right phone call!
STOP and Think...
Who wants a service that you have to
ring at high rates for silly selections and odds that are less than
evens, which don't come in anyway?
Who wants to wake up earlier than the
birds just to study form data and statistics? Why experience the stress
that is normally involved in the "ups and downs" of gambling?
Who wants crazy " keep your fingers
crossed" selections, when you might aswell close your eyes and point
them out yourself?
These so called
“Tipsters” don’t have a clue how to analyse the market effectively.
Picking profitable selections is a fine art with many aspects involved
the most important being TIME.
These so called
“Tipsters” just study what the other tipsters are selecting which are
readily available to everyone on the internet freely but pointless.

The
Service is based on tips for UK Horse Racing.... Back, Lay And Place
Tips Will Be Generated.
All
Tips Are Sent Out Via E-Mail... During the day and well in advance of
the days races. Once we are given the green light it's all go.
Most tipsters do know
about the market and know how to pick winners, however they make their
selections way to early in the day to get the best results. The trouble
with tipsters who only study form is, they are only going from past
results, they can't predict the future.
Some tipsters give 3 -
5 selections in the morning and by the time the races start, 2 - 3 of
the selections are non runners. It's not just a waste of time but this
may have left a gap for another selection to shine. This is what makes
the Value Tipster service completely risk free and so
successful..
Your
E-Mail Will Contain Direct, Simple, Easy to understand Instructions
regarding the time of the race, name of the selected horse, advised
stake, and whether you should back lay or Place the horse.
You
only need a £20 bank to start with. No other tipster service can offer
the security we do... because they just don't know the Sport like we
do...

83% of all punters are
beaten by one thing GREED. Greed will not only stop you from succeeding
but it will also lead to eventual failure.
14% of punters are
slightly smarter; they make the rare good decisions but will lose money
over the course of the year, for buying into and following other
worthless selection services...
The very few left are
the 3% of elite punters who hear the facts direct from the people in
the know. Although they do take the occasional losses, their profits are
so high that it really doesn't do nothing to the bank.
Which Category Do You
Fall Into??.. If its not the latter one, I'm going to give you one
amazing opportunity to join us.
The
Value Tipster
is going to end your losses and have your bank triple within days.....
Not only do we receive the most
valuable insider knowledge we also have a team of elite specialists who
analyse these selections through varied factors including:
|
Ground Type /
Weather
Time / Type Of Course (Left Or Right
Hand)
Current Form & Form Against
Competition
Jockeys, Trainers and Breed
Best Value Odds & Incredible
Profits |
 |

Here’s
Something You Can Do Right NOW!
Take all the
information from every other tipster that you have dealt with in the
past and FORGET IT!! I'm talking about Newspapers, Time Form, Racing
Post, the lot. None of them know
which horse will win. If they were all any good they wouldn't contradict
each other so much.
Now
Is The Time To Join The Most Profitable, Consistant, DAILY Service On
The Market.

The screenshot
below shows one bet in just one day, removed £14.31
from one unhappy bookies wallet.

£14.31 Profit From
Only A £3.50 Stake... Guaranteed Payout Return's

If you think I'm being
pushy, it's tough! This unrivalled offer is not going to sit around
waiting for the ones who can't decide. If you need to ask someone else
for permission you might aswell not bother. We have offered a 60 Day
Money Back Guarantee and a contollable LIMITED entry to the service but
acting now is going to save you even more money as the introductory
offer trial is on RIGHT NOW..
You are going to be
told some chilling truths and I can't guarantee that all of you will be
able to stomach what i'm about to tell you..
Horse Racing is crooked to the core
and if you don't know which way the river is flowing, you might just end
up swept off your feet and dumped down river.
|
|
You won't Need To....
Get Up Early Reading Form And Keep
Betting Blind
Risk Losing Your Bank On
Over-Rated.Donkey's
Know Anything About Horse Racing.
|
...and in a moment, I'm going to tell
you how you can replicate my Secret Method.
Please do not be
fooled by the word Value, this service has the biggest ROI in the UK and
it's backed up with all the proof.
Everyday, You
Will Receive Well Priced 'Placed' Tips Aswell As The Occasional 'Backs'
& 'Lays'... Guaranteed To Profit Big Just Like The One Below!...

£42.00 Profit From A £2
Stake... Fantastic Return's & Over 79% Sucess Rate
Don't forget this cash
is TAX FREE and just one of the many bets
that are exposed with Value Tipster each and every day
possible.
 |
Hi Value
Tipster Team,
Just a
quick thank you and a message to congratulate you on a superb 7 weeks so
far. The service is so profitable when it comes to results and well
done on the 18/1.
I've
signed up to a few tipsters before, call me unlucky but, I almost lost
faith in them all until I tried Value Tipster. Three big winners in my
first 2 days "I couldn't believe my eyes".
Your tips
were always consistent and I never had to wait around, it's great being
able to get on with my day and do what I want to.
To think, I
almost missed out as I wasn't going to purchase at first, then I
noticed the 60 day money back guarantee and thought why not give it a
try. I'm so glad I did.
Thank you
very much!!!
Craig
Dixon Sunderland, UK
|
 |
<Lock Into HUGE
Profits Today - Access Your Value Tipster NOW>
|
Heres how it works..
Subscribe Now For The
Introductory Offer
Open
Your E-mails
Place
The Bets At Your Bookie
Go
And Live Your Life How You Want Too
Smile
As You Check Your Bursting Full Balance |
|
You can see from the
proof below that Value Tipster doesn't just work, when it
does it makes massive returns guaranteed. I mean come on, would you ever
risk your money on a 130/1 coming (1st 2nd or 3rd).
This is already
working for many punters why not let it work for you?

A Healthy Return Of
£30.00 For Opening An Email And Placing One Bet

I have never had one
punter come back to me unhappy or dissatisfied following my selections.
The selections are of the highest quality with no reflection of the low
price.
This water tight
tipster service runs a fine tooth comb through every possible
opportunity of huge profit, rewarding you with only the horses worth
betting on..
The majority of punters worldwide
consistently lose because of one simple rule....

Instead they close
their eyes and follow the blind. They bet with luck, gut feeling and
what everybody else is wrongly going for.
Occasionally, they'll
hit a run of wins, nothing special but enough to think your tipster is
back on their so called form. Then comes the more frequent bad run,
bigger losing streaks, bigger losses and more failure. A cycle that ends
only in tears.
You now have to start
making a decision, do you want to carry on trying to guess who will
win and failing miserably with 97% of punters out there?? Spending all
day reading through tedious form and useless notes.

Do you want to step
into the secret circle, and become one of the 3% of
punters who make the bookies life hell. With BIG, CONSISTENT
WINS, every day.
|
|
Consistent Winning Selections.
No More Bank Breaking Losing Streaks.
Bet At Your Own Financial Pace.
Start Winning From Horse Racing Now...
Easy To Follow From Novice - Expert.. |

It's sad to say it but
every bookie out there exists for one reason only, your money! What
makes things worse is that they befriend you, offer you "great prices",
"free bets" and "money back specials" knowing you will lose instantly.
There are so many punters out there who actually believe they can win
from their "FANTASTIC DEALS".
It's also the same
with many so called tipsters, they get a couple of wins under their
belt and all of a sudden they believe they are a tipster guru offering
"a bookie breaker service". Following these time wasters is what a lot
of people get drawn into and eventually lose everything.
"It feels like
kicking the bookie right where it hurts, absolutely amazing"
Shaun Kelly, Luton
Our
Value
Tipster spotted the perfect place and took £26 in profit from a £2
stake..

Another Superbly Priced
Selection With A Rock Solid Return On Investement
 |
Hi Value
Tipster!
I have
given your tipster service a few months of thorough testing. I started
paper testing and after 4 days I had such fantastic results I put a few
quid on the selections.
I'm over
the moon with my results, great service and excellent support.
Thanks
Colin Shaw
I don't
know how you do it, but keep up the fantastic work...
Regards
Phillip
M, UK
Hi,
I never
realised you could win with such high odds. The service is reliable and
always arrives at the same time each day.
So far 50%
of my bets have won! 3 weeks and +84 points
Thank you
very much,
Aidan Bell
I've been
betting on horses for years, I love the way I dont have to go through
all the form anymore. Emails delivered on time and easy to understand
layout.
Kind
regards
Colin
Howarth, Burnley
Hi VT,
I'm new to
this tipster thing, I tried yours because you mentioned anyone could do
it. Your support team helped answer a couple of my questions and I won
that same day.
My balance
shot up from £100 to £670 in under 2 weeks.
Great tips
and a fantastic service, very very pleased :)
Thanks
Robbie C,
Uk
I wasn't
expecting some of these odds, yesterday's 20/1 was a very nice surprise.
With these results that keep coming in you have a customer for life.
Jim
Harrison, Barnet
|
 |

Over the last few
months I've received many emails from punters like you, asking
questions about the service and it's benefits. I have decided to compile
a list of frequently asked questions for you to read through.
Q: I've
used other so-called tipsters in the past and they didn't work. Why
should I try yours?
A: After
checking out the competition guess what, there is none. Value
Tipster is the ONLY profitable Horse Racing service out there.
With my 60 day money back guarantee if you think that I am wrong, I
will hand you back your money instantly.
I wish I could point
the finger at those idiots who are out only to get your money but
unfortunately I can’t. I was absolutely disgusted with what I found on
the internet, worthless tips and a hefty loss just waiting to happen.
I'm still to this
day waiting for a refund!! It makes my blood boil to think these
punters are giving their money away to those con artist’s.
I have over
25
years of Horse Racing experience under my belt, you can be
sure that this is NO gimmick.
YOU will make money
instantly.
No one on this entire planet can offer you a service half as
successful as Value Tipster! I back that up with a full 60 day
money back guarantee. NO questions asked.
Q: If the profits are so
great, why is the price so low?
A: The price is
£7.50, yes it is low but this is the introductory price. The special
price does not reflect the quality of this incredible service. After a
few days this price will certainly go back up to the original RRP
price.
If you want to wait
for the price to go up thats fine by me but if you get it now, with the
money that you save, your first successful tips are on me!
Q: Can I
place bets anywhere in the world?
A: There are
Sportsbooks for almost anybody, anywhere. We can advise you on a few if
you can't find them yourself.
The great thing
about this is that because many of my customers use different bookies,
prices can't get drowned out resulting in tiny amounts of profit.
Anybody can become a
valued member of this profitable service and start making winning bets
today from all corners of the world!
Q:
Can I
contact you if I have any questions?
A: I have
emails from happy customers everyday and if anybody has a problem I
have a dedicated support team onboard working 24/7. Contact us anytime
and I promise you’ll get a full prompt reply.
Most other Tipsters
have no longevity that’s because they have nil passion for betting on
the Horse Racing. Just a bunch of idiots on cloud 9 trying to make a
quick buck out of happy go lucky punters who believe in every false
word they dribble.
They’ll tell you what
you want to hear then once your in their trap there phone numbers
change..
Q:
Are The Tips Just For UK Race Courses?
A: Yes, our
tips are for only UK courses. This is because UK tracks have a higher
profitability on a much more consistent basis.
Q:
Can I use your service with my current service?
A: If you are
already using a service which you are happy with and would like another
one just like it to triple your profits you can do this by using Value
Tipster as another service. It's cheaper than any service with
similar profits and can be used alongside your current services with
great effect.

This
is an extremely competitive industry and only the elite profit.
Value
Tipster gives you INCREDIBLE
ACCESS TO THE ELITE! You will
instantly feel confident and start a huge run of consistent success
Guaranteed.
With
Value Tipster tipping you off, you will witness incredible
results instantly. Go at your own pace and before you know it you will
be winning big, every single day.
Included
in the price is a 24/7 support service,
no problem too big or too small. My expert team are on hand anytime of
the day to help you get started or even answer questions years after
you have subscribed. I feel that customer service has to be as good as
the tipster service itself and believe me, the service included in this
great deal is second to none.

If, at any point
during the next 2 months, you aren't completely satisfied with
the amount of money you are making using this service and you think it
didn't live up to expectations, simply send an email to our
support Team saying “No Thanks I am out” and We’ll promptly refund your
money.

NO questions asked,
you get back every single penny, as simple as that. You don’t have
to take my word for it... Value Tipster comes with a no-risk
100% money back guarantee and there’s absolutely no risk in
giving it a try, you have 60 days to test the system at my
expense!
|
100% Secure Order
Form
YES... You
can lock into your Value Tipster at
the discounted
price' not the £490,000 the system
extracts from the bookies each year,
not the £69.95 that others charge for a
service that works like this...
if you order today you can get access
at the ridiculously low price of
RRP. £297.00 £197.00 £97.00
£7.50
<Access Value
Tipster Now>
Remember -
Horse Racing is a Billion-Pound industry and you need to use the
power of a RISK FREE profitable service if you want to even stay
afloat in times of economic insecurity.
The
question now is whether you want to take advantage and apply yourself
a little, the gains are monstrous but the losses are far,
far worse for those without the knowledge.... you have been warned...!
£297.00 £197.00 £97.00
£7.50

Order via Clickbank's secure payment
servers. Instant access.

Important:
Your order is placed safely via
Clickbank's 256bit secure server
and you will be directed to the
download page straight after payment
- even if it's 3 a.m.!
|
You
can get started RIGHT NOW in making QUICK CASH with
the best Horse Racing tips, my guidance and complete dedication to
perfection; you can become one of the
Elite Bookie Beaters of your generation.
To
Your Success,
 
|
|
Making the right selections
- Why we may differ in our choice.
A problem that appears common over how we make the right
selections is something people are continually asking me about or commenting
about, so I'm giving this some thought as to how I can better explain what
it is you should be doing.
There are rules/guidelines that I follow as you know. Those who have the
book already know these rules/guidelines. people often email me and say, yes
okay, but the prices are always too short. Or how exactly do we know we have
the same runner you have selected for yourself. Or how do we know from all
of your free selections which are the ones to back. Yes this is tricky for
me to explain and for you to understand.
This is the part where it becomes very difficult for me to put across and to
make it understood. First up, this page is part of a free site for anyone going to my
website and is there as a general guide. Not every one has my book yet.
Second, those who do have my book, basically know what they should be
looking for and know how to narrow down all of the general free selections.
This process has to be flexible enough, even following rules and guidelines
but it must also allow for personal judgment. Rules that are rigid or
systematic and not a little flexible are never going to work, every one
following that are always going to select the same horse and that's what
every other punter in the country will be doing too. This is a bit of a
learning curve I understand, but we have to learn it.
Maybe I need to remove the word 'rules' and replace it with 'method' or some
other description or simply say 'guidelines'.
As I always say, you must use judgment and common sense - and you must learn
the process. That's all very well for me to say, but we all learn in
different ways. The point is, you need to learn and feel comfortable about
your selections your way.
For example I have given rules/guidelines that the recent form should be
something like 2-2-1 or 3-2-2 or 3-2-1 or 2-1-1 and so on...you know what I
mean. The point being, in the last 3 runs that horse has been placed. All
other runners in that race don't have much form and probably not that much
of a chance in this race. In your own opinion following my suggested method
of making the selection.
Or in other words, the rest don't have such good form. The price won't
always be short and if it is, bypass the race, just move on to the next.
Very often I see a horse that has form 322 or something similar, but it's
not fancied for any number of reasons, but I still may select that horse,
because I feel there's not much else running anyway that looks that good to
beat it.
But the general consensus is, some horse in this race with the form 554 is
fancied, but I see no reason why it should be fancied. I'd take a bet on the
horse with better form 322. Even if it doesn't quite fit all the rules and
guidelines I suggest. That's a personal choice.
Often times, very often that horse with the 322 form But Not The Fav - is
successful and at 5/1 or 10/1 or whatever price...routinely that is the
case. My thoughts are this, I'm looking for what I think will get a place,
not necessarily win, I don't care if it wins ....I just want it placed.
I want to be successful with a run of 10 races, that's always in the back of
my mind. I'm no different to you, I also don't want short prices
particularly, I want to achieve my run of 10 with £10,000 at the end of it.
Doesn't always come off of course, but it does quite frequently over time.
Horse racing is not that precise, it's gambling. If it were a business, we
could predict better no doubt, but it's not, it's gambling.
Now, when I am going through each race, not for my free selections on your
website, but the one I am interested in myself. I may interpret the form
differently perhaps than the way you might interpret the form. This is not a
dead set systematic approach we are using, judgment comes in too. This means
there is no way of checking past results in a database as such. Because that
info isn't in any database. Every race is different. The rules and
guidelines that are given are the closest I can get to making good
selections.
As an example I'm going to look at an imaginary race and attempt to show how
I would make my selection and how I would interpret this race
Horse 1 - form - 21111
Horse 2 - form - 77765
Horse 3 - form - 32278
Horse 4 - form - 76322
Horse 5 - form - 76576
Horse 6 - form - 78376
Horse 7 - form - 11287
Horse 8 - form - 434352
Following my rules to the letter, which no one can really do and this is
where your own judgment and knowledge comes in. The choice would be a fairly
obvious on following exact rules. Horse number one is the choice. But is
it? - I wouldn't make that selection, but others might.
I would look at this race in this way. Horse 1 has won 4 races in a row and
a 2nd previous to that - he is the top weight in this race. I would
first of all be thinking, Does the trainer really want this horse to win? -
that's the first question in my mind. The second question would be. This
horse has won 4 straight races, what's the chance here of him winning 5
straight races? It happens of course but that's the question in my mind.
However, the rest of the runners look fairly ordinary. Horse 8 could be in
with a chance. Horse 4 looks pretty good here too. Nicely drawn, up in the
weights but not too high. I would look back at Horse 1 and I'll be thinking,
okay, this might really win. The price with form like that is going to be
odds on as you know. So, it probably will win, But my choice for the race
would be Horse 4.
The chances are horse 1 will win, I don't really care, but I'm confident
between the rest that horse 4 will be placed and he's my selection not horse
1 or horse 8.
Now this is how I would look at this race, Horse 1 is odds on but horse 4 is
at maybe 2/1 or 3/1 or 4/1 and if it is, it's an attractive place bet.
Whatever the price, it should get placed under these conditions that we all
can see from above. The rest of the UK/Aus are backing horse 1 for a win
bet.
Okay, lets see how this imaginary race panned out with imaginary results:
Horse 8 - Won at 6/1
Horse 7 - 2nd at 15/1
Horse 4 came in 3rd and paid 4/1 paying £1.70 for the place bet- while horse
1 the hot favorite came in last of all. That turned out to be a good
and successful bet at a good price on this occasion.
I see this happen time and time again in the UK and also Australia,
everywhere actually. But that is how I would have made my selection in this
race. You on the other hand may have chosen horse 1. I don't think anyone
following my guidelines would have taken horse 8. If you had chosen horse 1 and the price would have been low TAB maybe 1,05 Belfair 1.10 etc. That's
where I say, don't bet move on and find the next race.
Every race is different this is where a little judgment and knowledge,
experience if you like comes in. This is why we seem to make different
selections on occasions, based on fixed rules and guidelines. Other times,
we'll easily see the right choice together.
I don't believe these rules can be that rigid, rigid in such a way,
everyone is going to choose the same horse. Most people do follow such
stringent rules and that's why the price gets so short and unworkable in
part with my plan. The whole of the country is backing the same horse.
I hope I am making some sense with all this. The rules in my book are to the
point, sensible and should be followed, but should also be treated as
guidelines which must be flexible to allow for some common sense decision
making as explained in my example above.
Do a friend a favor and pass this article
onto them!
Bad Betting Habits
So you want to kick your bad betting
habits and replace them with new
resolve, new discipline and new
patience? Well, sounds like a great idea
to me.
The key question, though, is: How
best do you achieve such a state of
betting bliss? Like everything else in
these busy times, it's a matter of
setting goals, picking your spots, and
making sure that every invested dollar
achieves maximum return.
In this series of articles, I am
going to take you through 100 betting
ideas. They will cover the full spectrum
of racing selection and investment. Once
you have studied the 100 ideas 1 am
confident you will be a better and,
ultimately, a richer, punter.
The beginning of a fresh year is just
the right time to get your 'house' in
order to start the long haul to punting
respectability.
(1) SETTING TARGETS The targets that any punter sets have to
be within the realms of reality. If
you're a $10 punter don't set yourself
the goal of winning thousands of
dollars. Estimate your annual turnover
and then aim at winning 20 per cent. If
you bet $50 a week over, say, 50 weeks
that's a turnover of $2500. Your target
for profit should be 20 per cent of
that, which is $500. Most punters will
turnover a couple of hundred dollars a
week. In that case the annual turnover
is $10,000 and the 20 per cent target is
$2000.
(2) MAKE FORM STUDY A HABIT To make any sense out of racing, you
have to make form study a habit. Decide,
before you start anything, how many days
a week you are going to bet, and put
aside special time to study the form for
the meetings you are going to cover. And
remember that you are going to have to
budget for 'extras' like form guides,
videos, magazines, any computerization
you use, transport to and from the
tracks - all that sort of thing (even to
allowing for the drinks and food you eat
at the track or at the TAB). Get as much
in the way of form information at your
disposal as you can. Knowledge is power.
(3) THE RIGHT FRAME OF MIND Panic never won a war. Panic never wins
the betting war, either. Once your have
set yourself goals, chosen your bets,
and decided on an approach, don't panic
if things do not go as planned. If you
have faith in what you are doing - in
your selection process and the
management approach you are using to bet
the selections - then panic is uncalled
for. Keep calm.
(4) MAKING HAY WHILE THE SUN SHINES We've all had those days when everything
seems to go right. Yet how many of us
truly capitalize on the sunshine days?
Not many, I bet. The trouble is that
punters are always under betting winners
and over betting losers. This is why staking is important. Your
armory should include the capacity to
upgrade the size of your bets when you
enter the 'supreme confidence' phase.
This is the time when you know that
everything seems right, and that it's
your day to make a killing. One extra
great day per year can lift your profits
enormously.
(5) GET YOURSELF A STYLE There are so many different approaches
to selecting and betting. You have to
choose one that suits your personal
style. It's no good taking on a staking
plan that might call for big bets if you
haven't got the stomach to hand over the
big bills. Tailor your cloth to suit
your needs, and what you can handle
psychologically. You must develop a
style of betting that suits you 100 per
cent. If you hate quinellas and
trifectas, don't bother with them. Stick
with what makes you comfortable.
(6) FINDING THE RIGHT RACES Ah, easier said than done. Too many
punters simply bet too many races. If
you've set goals, and you have your
selection method in hand, you should
know which races to choose. Study the
past to find the clues to the future.
Which races have served you best? Which
types of races have been dead losses?
Stick with the winners, axe the losers.
(7) DON'T MISS A HORSE When you study form, make sure you study
it properly. A common failing is to get
a 'fancy' for a particular horse and
allow that attachment to cloud your
judgment. Go through the form of every
horse in the race. Many punters even
start from the rank outsiders and work
down to the favorite. In this way, they
can avoid the temptation to write off
the long shots because they just can't
be bothered looking at their form.
(8) THE MAJOR FACTORS Certain elements always have to be
assessed when you are doing the form.
They are Class, Weight, Form, Fitness.
These can be called the key factors of
form. You must determine if a horse is
up to the class of the race; you must
decide if he can carry his weight and
win; you must decide if his form is good
enough; and finally you have to assess
whether a horse is fit to win. Always
bear these things in mind, and answer
each point objectively. A simple 'tick
test' can be used against each factor
for each horse. Why not make up your own
ruled sheet and have hundreds printed at
your nearest quick-print shop?
(9) NEW FORM, OLD FORM When you put a horse through the form
'wringer' you should put more emphasis
on recent form than on old form. One
Brisbane professional says he puts a
limit of 18 months on form lines, and
always takes more notice of what a horse
has done in the latest six months. But
sometimes you can find the key to a race
through a bit of old form, so it can
never be ruled out entirely.
(10) ABILITY AT THE DISTANCE One of the questions you must ask
yourself is whether a selection can run
the distance of the race. In most cases,
the answer will be clear. The horse will
have previous winning form over the
trip. Often, though, the answer is not
so clear. The horse may be untried at
the distance. This is when you have to
use your skill and judgment. Even if a
horse is a winner at the journey, he may
now face a rise in class and you have to
decide if he can meet this class
challenge and still get the distance.
Then there's the question of weight. A
horse may win over 1200m with 51 and
52kg but can it carry 56 or 57 kg and
win? Take a lot of care on the distance
factor. Try to imagine the race in your
mind. Look at the other runners to judge
for early speed and late-closers.
(11) FOLLOW THE RIGHT STABLES It goes without saying that some
trainers and jockeys dominate racing. We
all know who they are. It is especially
important that in major races you give a
lot of thought to the entries from the
leading stables. History shows they will
win a significant number of Group 1, 2
and 3 races.
(12) IF DOUBTFUL, DON'T BET Punters are always wracked by doubts and
fear. This is normal. Even the most
seasoned and professional punter will be
assailed by worries of various kinds.
Some races will end up with you being
confused by doubt. Will 1 bet, won't 1
bet? If there are doubts in your mind,
if you can't really choose between
various runners, then simply stay out.
It won't hurt to miss a race or two.
There will always be plenty more. Never
be afraid of missing a winner. You will
avoid backing more losers than you will
miss backing winners. Caution is good
sense in these instances of doubt.
(13) STAY COMMITTED Once you have decided on the manner in
which you choose your selections, and on
how you will bet them, stay committed to
that course. Don't be sidetracked by
someone else's tips or urgings. Bet your
horses and leave it at that. There is little long-term value in
entrusting your cash to your mate's
tips. If you've put in the hard work
yourself, you should be quite satisfied
that you have done enough and bet
accordingly.
(14) BET AGAINST THE MASS Perhaps the only way any punter is going
to make a long-term profit is by gaining
value with the invested dollar. This
means that you will have to bet against
the public if you are to have any
chance. Don't be suckered into backing
under-valued horses; there's no future
in it. Remember that if the bookies are
posting a horse at evens (50 per cent)
they will have given it a true value of
less than that, probably at least 6/4
(40 per cent). That means you are
accepting poor value if you accept their
even money. Make sure any bet you make
is a value bet according to your
informed research and analysis.
(15) MAKE YOUR OWN MARKET It's not so hard to make your own
betting market. You can do it off the
top of your head. Price your main
fancies first. Ask yourself what price
you would be prepared to take about your
top pick? Would you back it at 6/4 or
would that seem foolish? Does 5/2 make
you feel comfortable? If so, make that
the cut-off point, or perhaps even a
half point longer, for safety's sake. If
this approach doesn't appeal, then look
for a mechanical way of assessment.
Allot points and work out the price that
way.
(16) OVER BETTING DANGERS Never over bet. Chain betting or
reckless race-to-race betting will never
get you anywhere. You have to pick your
spots. Keep the number of bets under
control. You don't have to restrict
yourself to just one. But something
around 5 or 6 should be enough for the
day. That amount gives you enough action
and the chance of survival.
How To Place Bet On Favorites For A
Living >
Article by Martin Dowling
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