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Too Many Experts - Keep Horse Racing Simple.   by Malcolm MacLean © 2009

 

 

So many systems - So many reviews - So many adverts - So many experts. Where does any punter start to learn? and from whom?

This is an enormously difficult subject for punters to approach so lets take horse racing back to the basics and go from there. No matter what type of betting interests you, whether it be backing for a win, backing each-way or backing for a place only:

Here's your first line of thought. You have to be quite successful with your selections!

Second thought. Your selections must overall be able to show a profit!

It's only the money and the profit any punter should be interested in - NOTHING ELSE.

There is so much information, 'over information' available on the internet, very few punters have any chance of winning any amount. There are a number of apparent problems and a number of good reasons why most punters simply keep losing their cash all of the time, year after year. The reasons may upset some readers of this article too, but the reasons are valid and quite true.

Before continuing I'll explain why I know this. Having been in this business now for close to 40 years and operating in Australia, The UK and The USA along with many other countries. Over the years I have corresponded with thousands upon thousands of punters with their questions or comments. I've always made a point of responding personally to each and every one.

Swapping and changing systems all of the time.

This is the first reason, it's always been the reason, long before the Internet ever existed. But in this day and age of The Internet and Internet gambling more to the point Internet Publishing. Everyone is being brainwashed into believing there is an automatic system out there, that will take no time at all to make your selections, and you will win every day of your life if you buy it now. This message has been advertised as far back as the early 1930's, I know, my company was there too!

That's the advertising angle:

Learn this: No winning system has ever been invented that will win all the time. It will never be invented:

Whilst this is all simply misleading advertising and wrong. The punter is also to blame and the usual first mistake and one that is always repeated. They buy a system or e-book method expecting to win immediately, when they don't someone will review the particular system or book, say it's rubbish all over the internet and then move on to the next great system of the week. (wash and repeat) - same things been happening for decades, I've seen it all before.

Bottom line. ANY punter must stick to his chosen method of betting providing it can profit. Start to swap around trying different things everyday and this punter will simply lose, and continue to lose for ever more.

Keep your punting simple:

I'm not a fan of level stakes or betting to a percentage of a bank, at least not in the traditional way, I have my own way. But, here are a few guideline rules any punter should follow.

When searching out a selection method to pick your runners, for whatever type of bet you wish to make. Find a method that is flexible enough to include personal judgment which will be gained with experience over time. Avoid ANY system that follows dead set rules:

Following past results to the letter and following statistics and patterns will never show an overall profit, never. If it does it will always be a minimal profit at best.

Follow systems and statistical data to the letter and making the selections in this manner, and you will always be backing the same runner that the rest of the punters will be backing in your country.

AVOID ANY STAKING PLAN THAT INCLUDES INCREASING YOUR STAKE AT ANY TIME IN ANY MANNER:

99% of every system sold, everywhere on and off the Internet rely on this line of thought. This line of attack will kill ANY punter over time everywhere. It usually doesn't take much time either.

If your favorite advert this week shows a system that looks fantastic with past results backing this up, usually stating that with this new wonder plan when you hit a loser simply increase your  bet or even more stupid double it. This approach is the beginning and end of you as a punter, simple as that.

Forget that line of thought straight away. You won't and can't win. Not like that. If it can't show a profit of any kind on level stakes, you are immediately on a loser.

 

IDEAS:

1 Find a suitable selection method

2 Make sure it can at least profit on level stakes

3 STICK to the method

4 Refine that method

5 Learn more about why and how you are making these selections

These are simple and basic ideas to follow. Start with this simple approach and you will do far better in the long run. Have patience, do not bet on every race ever. Choose and make selections wisely, never increase your stake money, never double you stake money. Avoid any type of Martingale Type Plan (doubling up etc)

Avoid blindly following favorites - blindly following tipsters - blindly following statistics - blindly following patterns.

Use your head, think a little. begin to use this approach and you are commencing on a path to profit.

Much has been written on the internet, including my own websites here. Following this advice will put you in a better position to take on horse racing if your desire is to ever show a profit.

Article by

Malcolm MacLean © 2009


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