|
Exeter - Tuesday 9 March
Going: Good to Soft
14:30 Real Treasure
15:00 Salontyre
15:30 By George
16:00 King Jack
16:30 The Ferbane Man
17:00 Tarabela
Newcastle - Tuesday 9 March
Going: Soft-Heavy in places
14:20 Allow Me
14:50 Mister Pete
15:20 Its Teescomponents
15:50 Hi Dancer
16:20 Luso's Lad
16:50 Silver Sedge
17:20 Eagle Owl
Southwell - Tuesday 9 March
Going: Standard
14:10 Where's Reiley
14:40 Resplendent Ace
15:10 Dunaskin
15:40 Dart
16:10 Fuzzy Cat
16:40 Trans Sonic
17:10 Mackintosh
17:40 Fulford
END
MacLean - International Publishers
© 2010
Go back to Main Page
|
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HOW TO PLACE BET ON
FAVORITES FOR A
LIVING
|
 |
Why is place betting on
favorites simply the quickest
way to profit from horse racing
betting…
Two top professionals will tell you
why..........
Mohammed Ali
(Friends call him the Betting
Scientist)
and on the following pages he's
going to show you the exact horse
betting system he's been using...
-- Since 1992 to make a
consistent profit week after week
from horse racing betting...
With this method it will take you
only 15-20 minutes a day
to find your secure
investment. It will take you about 5
minutes to select the appropriate
favorite horses that you would then
put through the set of rules. You
will then spend about 15 minutes
running each of these favorites
through the rules and end up with a
set of highly secure
investments for the day.
You will then place your bets at
your local betting house, on the
Internet or at the tracks and
take the rest of the day off!
All that is required to apply the
rules a horse racing betting
newspaper or any other source with
basic racing statistics (Such as the
Internet or betting guides provided
at betting agents).
…It’s
so safe & easy that most of my
clients tell me that it’s almost
UNFAIR!! When
you bet on well priced
non-favorites, you are
effectively betting against
the odds... However investing on
certain favorites
that have passed my set of rules
will definitely set the odds in
YOUR FAVOR in a
very BIG way!
Before Internet and phone betting I
had to make all my bets at the
betting agent. And because everybody
else also had to be there to make
their bets, after a race,
particularly at the weekends, there
used to be long queues at the payout
window. I was so certain that each
of the horses selected by my system
would win that I used to line up at
the payout window even
before the race had started!
And guess what… the payout lady
thought I was NUTS!
But after collecting several
hundred dollars in just a few days
she knew I meant
serious business each time
I stood in that line.
You see… my system in a
nutshell goes something like this:
Everyone knows that favorites have a
high chance of
winning a race. However we select
only certain types of favorites that
have even a much higher
chances of winning. We then
put these horses through a set of
rules to eliminate any
‘risks’ they may be
carrying. We then end up with a set
of very secure favorites
that have an extremely
high chance of winning.
BUT guess what?... we don’t
even bet for a win!
By betting for a place
only—we dramatically
increase the odds in our favor!!
|
You probably don’t know
that my system was
created by accident when
I was finishing my
Business Degree at
university |
Here’s what happened…
*Please Note: You do not need
to understand any of the statistical
data revealed here...my system is
written in plain English and is easy
enough for a 11 year old to use. The
illustration is merely being used to
show how I came about developing my
horse racing betting system.
February 1992 - It was my
third assignment for statistics
paper when I decided to base it on
finding out if the win dividend of a
favorite horse had any relationship
with its ability to win a race.
Before I began the assignment I knew
for a fact that the favorite horse
wins 28 percent of
the time as this information was
readily available through most big
betting agencies. The win dividend
of a favorite could range from
less than $1 and going as
high as $5.6 at times.
However the average win dividend for
a favorite is only $1.94,
which shows that fewer high
paying favorites win.
Here are the facts
so far…
• Favorites win 28% of
all races
• Average win dividend
of a favorite is $1.94
• Problem:
Out of every $10
invested on favorites,
your loss is $4.57 |
I knew there had to be a way
to increase the win percentage by
finding out why certain favorites
won while others lost. With this in
mind I statistically analyzed racing
data to find out if there was any
relationship with the win
price divided and the number of
times the favorite horse won.
Here are the results…
|
Win Dividend
Range
|
Percentage
Won
|
|
$1.0 - $1.5
|
.062
|
|
$1.6 - $2.0
|
.34
|
|
$2.1 - $2.5
|
.14
|
|
$2.6 - $3.0
|
.062
|
|
$3.1 - $3.5
|
.125
|
|
$3.6 - $4.0
|
.062
|
The results amazed me!
Simply by selecting
favorite horses with win dividends
from $1.6 - $2.5, I
increase my chances of winning to
48%. This was a huge
improvement from the average win
strike rate of all favorites at 28%.
However 48% strike rate was still
not good enough since the average
win dividend was only $2.05.
Here
are the facts now...
• Favorites with win
divided from $1.6 - $2.5
win 48% of all races.
• Average win dividend
is $2.05
• Problem:
For every $10 invested,
your loss is $0.16
|
I was very close to making a
profit. What I did for the next
3 years was the turning point of my
life…
So far I was statistically analyzing
past data. I knew I had to analyze
actual races as they
occurred to find ways of
dramatically increasing
the win strike rate of the favorite
horse. After a painstaking 3 years,
I developed a set of rules which
when applied to certain types of
favorite horses, picked a winner in
an astonishing 89.52 percent
of all races!
These rules are the filters that
separate the winners from the
losers, quite literally!
All that is required to successfully
pick out the qualifying favorite
horse and apply the winning rules is
a horse betting newspaper or form
guide information, which is readily
available on the Internet and at all
betting agents. This system
can be applied to any gallop
horse race in the world
and has already been extensively
used in America, Hong Kong,
Canada, South Africa, Australia, New
Zealand, UK and most of Europe
for well over 16
years by thousands of people.
You do not need any prior horse
betting or statistics knowledge as
the entire plan has been written in
plain English and
takes only 10-20 minutes to use on
any race day.
Here are the facts as it
stands…
• When certain
favorite horses are
selected and put through
my set of rules, a win
strike rate of
89.52 percent is
achieved.
• Average win
divided is $2.55
•
Breakthrough:
For every $10 invested,
your profit is $12.83!
|
Although I was getting 128.3% profit
for every dollar
invested… I still wasn’t happy
Here’s why…
I wanted a lot more leverage
out of every dollar invested.
This prompted me to look into
‘place bet’
dividends of all the horses I
analyzed.
The penny finally dropped!
My
system produced a mind boggling
96.35% place strike rate.
This was because the
selected horses did not have to win
the race but come first second or
third and it was in the money.
However the average place dividend
is only $1.60. So for every $1.00
invested your profit after losses is
$0.54 (Fifty four cents).
But here’s why I was totally
ecstatic even though the place
dividend was considerably less when
compared to the win dividend…
When you combine the place strike
rate and dividend and compare it to
the win strike rate and dividend –
betting for a place
produced far more leverage.
This leverage technique lets you
turn
small amounts of money into large
sums of cold hard cash very, very,
very quickly and easily!
This leverage technique is the
second big secret I
will reveal to you in my manual (The
first is how to achieve a place
strike rate of 96.35% -
consistently!). I will show you in a
step-by-step outline exactly how you
can use my system to consistently
earn an income from horse racing
betting – just like I do and
as well as
thousands of my very happy clients
all over the world.
Why
bet on favorites and why for a
place?
*Favorites
are horses that pay
relatively shorter odds
(Odds means money) and are
the most favored by the
betting public to win the
race. **Place
betting is where
you win a dividend when a
horse runs in first, second
or third. It is known as
'betting for a show' in
North America and other
related countries.
ANSWER… It’s
SAFE, QUICK and EASY … it’s
so easy that
at times it feels almost
UNFAIR!!
Let me explain…
First of all let me clarify
something…when I talk about making
money from horse racing betting, I’m
not talking about a few ‘freak’ or
lucky wins in a month. What I’m
however referring to is
consistently profiting week after
week and year after year from
punting.
Why is place betting on favorites
the
safest and
most secure
bets you will ever make in your
life…
OK, we don’t just select any
favorite horse and lay a place bet
on it.
NO ABSOLUTELY NOT!
We only select certain types of
favorite horses and then put each
one of them through a set of
vigorous rules before making a
secure investment. These rules
eliminate any ‘Risk Factors’
the horse may be carrying. Favorites
that pass each of the rules are
called absolute
certainties and move
from being a gamble to becoming a
highly secure investment.
Shortly I will show you
exactly how I maintain a win strike
rate
of 89.52% and a place strike rate of
96.35%!
You see, The Biggest Problem
with punters that lose money on
horse racing betting is that they
try to make big sums of money from
just a few dollars. Occasionally
they might succeed but in the long
run they will certainly lose a lot
of their hard earned money!
Without doubt you possibly could
make a consistent profit by
investing on high-priced
non-favorites… BUT
you will probably have to spend
18-20 hours each race day
researching all the factors just to
figure out which horses may run into
money. Who has this sort of spare
time and more importantly why make
things hard for yourself by betting
on ‘hard to pick’ non-favorites when
you can very, very easily
profit from favorites?
Anyone who tells you that
you can consistently profit from
non-favorites by spending only 20
minutes researching winners is
simply lying or don’t know what
there’re talking about!
With my method it will take you only
15-20 minutes a day
to find your secure investment. It
will take you about 5 minutes to
select the appropriate favorite
horses that you would then put
through the set of rules. You will
then spend about 15 minutes running
each of these favorites through the
rules and end up with a set of
highly secure investments
for the day.
You will then place your bets at
your local betting house, on the
Internet or at the tracks and
take the rest of the day off!
All that is required to apply the
rules a horse racing betting
newspaper or any other source with
basic racing statistics (Such as the
Internet or betting guides provided
at betting agents).
I will show you how to win at the
races
like you have never before...
16
years of highly profitable income
already generated!
I devised the “How to ‘Place Bet’ on
Favorites for a Living” horse
betting method some sixteen years
ago and since then thousands
of people have used it and
successfully profited from it.
Just like you, almost all
of them were simply seeking an
additional source of income to
supplement their weekly earnings. To
the amazement of my clients, this
extra source of easy income started
to produce much more
money than what they thought
were ever possible from racing
or most other low cost moneymaking
ventures.
Before I devised and started using
the “How to ‘Place Bet’ on Favorites
for a Living” plan, I bought and
tested many moneymaking methods
including several betting systems.
Of everything I had come across
nothing even remotely
compared to the profitability of
this method.
Start
cashing in from the first time you
use it...
As far as I am aware this is the
only system that can start making
you money from the first
time you use it. You don’t
even need large sums of cash to
start with. Week after week and year
after year you can use it to
produce an extra income on the side
and afford all those things that you
thought were not possible with
today’s rising prices.
Isn’t
an extra income exactly what you are
looking for?
STOP for a moment and
think about this.
Imagine this Saturday instead of
lazing around the house you place 4
- 5 very secure bets and take the
rest of the day off. Within a few
hours the races have run and you
have made several hundred dollars in
cold hard profit.
Now, you keep repeating it week
after week…and are banking
piles of cash. Your friends
are wondering where you get so much
money from. But you’re not
surprised. You now own a
‘secret weapon’
that you’re not revealing to anyone
– “How
to ‘Place Bet’ on Favorites for a
Living”.
It’s important to understand
what I’ve just described is not a
fantasy. And it’s not magic. This is
what happens to people start to use
some of the powerful strategies I
have to share in “How to ‘Place Bet’
on Favorites for a Living”.
I freely admit that my betting
methods are not for everyone. If you
are looking for a quick get rich
scheme that will make you millions
of dollars overnight, then this
system is not for
you. As you know by now there are
many people making an excellent
income part-time and full-time from
racing. YOU TOO can
do the same.
Wouldn’t an
extra income be nice?
Take
the gambling out of racing
In a nutshell, the “How to ‘Place
Bet’ on Favorites for a Living”
method takes the gambling element
out of horse racing. Why pay
hundreds or even thousands of
dollars for betting software or
systems that are nothing more than a
simple staking plan?
Why I am prepared to share
this lucrative information
Simple! Horse race
betting is a multi-billion
dollar industry and growing
still. There is no way that bets
from the users of this system will
make a dent in the market. Because
we lay bets on certain horses only,
there will always be thousands of
punters betting on other horses
making our bets even more
profitable. Therefore
sharing my betting secrets creates a
'WIN WIN' situation. I gain from the
extra cash flow while my clients
(people just like you) massively
benefit by making extra income from
racing. There are
absolutely no losers in the above
transaction! You will
only lose if you do not take this
offer seriously as you will miss out
on a LIFETIME worth of EXTRA
INCOME...
***Please DO NOT send me any
of your winnings!
Not a month goes by without an
overwhelmed user of my method
writing incredibly satisfying
remarks about the results achieved
by using my system. Every so often,
some extremely delighted punter
tries to send me a portion of
his/her winnings. Although a very
generous gesture, please DO
NOT send me any of your winnings.
I get my satisfaction by
helping others achieve their dreams.
When you start winning more than you
need, start building your nest egg
or simply share it with your family
and friends. Not only will they
thank you but
you will also become an envy
to all your acquaintances.
Turn your dream of making
big money from racing
into a reality by acting RIGHT NOW!
And I’ve gotta warn you
though…
Because I reckon that once you get
the ‘guts’ of what this manual is on
about you’re going to face the
dilemma of finding it difficult to
sleep at night.
Why?
Because all these spine-tingling
moneymaking ideas will be jumping
all over your brain.
But guess what?
Sleep will be of little importance
to you. There’s nothing that
compares to the feeling you get when
you know you can ‘turn on’ your
betting system that will bring in as
much cash as you desire
EVERY SINGLE WEEK.
That
puts you in control of your future
of freedom.
By now, you’re do doubt
curious about how much this
exceptional manual, “How to ‘Place
Bet’ on Favorites for a Living” is
going to cost.
However, before we move
along to that, you need to know
this:
This is NOT a get-rich quick
system. If that’s what
you’re after, then please invest in
some other venture.
And I am not going to just give you
a treasure trove of theory… then
wish you well as you grasp at straws
– wondering how to actually do it.
No way! I’ve laid
everything out in plain English,
with real examples, so it’s as easy
to follow as a simple recipe. You
won’t complete the manual,
overloaded with bits and pieces of
information and wondering “Now, how
do I get started on this?” You’ll
complete it knowing exactly
how to consistently profit from
horse racing.
Won’t that feel great?
Which moves us along to your
investment…
Now, you need to know that to join
my tipping service club where I make
the ‘secure’ selections for you
everyday costs $590.00
per week.
Why so
much? Because I make
my clients a small fortune with the
selections I pick. My years and
years of accumulative experience and
know how are as rare as hens teeth.
I’ve been known to double
somebody’s betting bank (regardless
of how big it is) within a few days.
There is an abundance of other ways
I could spend my time. So if I am
going to invest time with you, it’s
got to be worth my while. It is not
uncommon for me to have people lined
up on a 5-week waiting list…
all striving to pay me this amount.
To produce this manual I’ve invested
over 4,500 hours
researching, to reveal all
the tools you need to know to profit
consistently from horse racing
betting that could be
your passport to riches.
Everything you need to know!
So How Much Does This System
Cost
It’s nearly impossible to value this
manual. But if you paid the normal
price for me to explain all of these
strategies and techniques to you
one-on-one you’d be looking at
running a bill somewhere between
$2,500 - $4,000.
That’s why
this is the way to discover how to
consistently
profit from racing.
There are betting systems and
software that sell for
thousands of dollars… and
in my opinion don’t give you the
practical step-by-step instructions
that this program provides you with.
But still, it sells well.
But I’m not going to ask you for
thousands of dollars… even
though you’d get your moneys worth
instantly if you implemented the
strategies.
I am not a greedy person.
Yes… I am money motivated… inspired
by profits. But I am not greedy.
There is a very clear difference.
And … after investing years in
developing this system I’d like as
many people of ambition and
enterprise as possible to use it.
I am concerned with influencing the
way the maximum number of
people make their bets…
so that they can achieve the dreams
they went into horse racing betting
for.
But after much deliberation,
I’ve made it extremely
easy for you to get your hands on
this system...
-- I’ve set the price at
just USD $47
(well below
half the usual, already low price!)
Which is, I’m certain you’ll agree…
a damned good rate for a manual that
puts money in your pocket for
the remainder of your life.
A bloody good deal for such
income-generating, proven, results
based information… that relates to
the horse racing betting
marketplace.
What’s more,
you can download this manual within
minutes straight to your computer
and access this lucrative
information right away - even if
it’s 2 a.m. in the morning!
Just straight down the line,
hard-boiled, NO B.S. horse
betting advice that MAKES MONEY!
So what’s the catch? Why am
I practically giving these highly
sought after betting secrets away?
Well, it’s really quite simple.
Since you’re accessing this
information over the Internet I have
no inventory and fulfillment costs.
I don’t have anyone to take orders
over the phone so I can pass along
my cost savings to you. So
you win and I win.
PLUS, I know
this stuff works…and can make a
massive impact in your life. And
I’ve got a gut feeling that deep
down that you know that after you
read this manual your life
will never be the same again.
It will transform your lifestyle.
You’ll be able to go on more
holidays,
spend more time with your friends
and family and
put more cash in your pocket for
less effort...
It’s what I know, to my knowledge,
better than anybody else in the
betting arena. And I’m offering to
lay it all down step-by-step for you
in this manual. I’m going to
compress everything I know down into
a short-cut formula that’s
easy to follow, quick, simple…
and FUN! And you’re
going to get it all for a mere
fraction of what it would cost to
join my tipping club or to hire me
directly.
One well known horse racing critique
recently suggested that I
should charge people $990.00
for this resource and frankly it
would still be a bargain at that
price.
Another one advised me
not to
make it available at all,
but instead reveal
everything at expensive seminars and
charge people a few thousand dollars
to attend.
Would I make more money that
way? Yes. But I don't need to do
that - and I don't think it would be
fair to you. My goal is NOT to take
your hard earned money and run like
some people do.
Instead, I am dedicated to doing
everything I can to help you achieve
the success you deserve, and the $47
I'm charging is only to cover my
costs and allow me to spend 5 hours
a day researching and finding
material that will truly help you.
(This
is my hobby as well - it's what I
love doing).
That's a small investment in
your future, and if you're serious
about the quality of your life it's
a drop in the ocean. If you're not
willing to invest a mere $47 to
improve ALL aspects of your
life...then you're simply NOT
serious enough about making more
money, your future or your family's
future!
|
It’s easy to
order...
Purchase online with Credit
Card by using ClickBank's
Secure Server
(that uses state of the art
encryption to fully protect
your details very securely).
Once your transaction has
been processed, you will be
directed to my download
page…
--SO
Get
INSTANT ACCESS
NOW!
(Limited Time Offer At Only
USD $47)
Click Here To Download Your
Copy Right Away!
It
doesn't matter if it's 2:00
a.m. in the morning!
(PDF File for PC & Mac)
|
I soon hope to hear about your
profitable betting successes.
Warmest Regards,
Mohammed Ali (BBus,
CIR, CR)
Creator of "How to ‘Place Bet’ on
Favorites for a Living”
P.S. How much is
your future worth? If you
can afford 13 cents a day,
don’t let a few lousy dollars a
month stop you from reaching your
dream of making an extra income from
horse racing betting.
P.P.S. I have made
it as easy as possible to put into
action. You’ll find a quick start
guide in the manual that you can
refer to immediately. So grab the
bull by the horns and get started
today. Once you see the
difference in your betting results,
nothing will be able to stop you
from achieving you dreams.
Just collecting your first winning
will make you so incredibly,
incredibly, incredibly pleased you
took advantage of this opportunity.
So order your copy Right
Now. You’ll be
glad you did!
Download Now!
Copyright MacLean - International
Publishers - Valletta - Malta
Marketing & Promotion © MacLean -
International Publishers 2010
Copyright of each product is
owned by the respective Author
or Developer who own these
works. MacLean - International
Publishers take no
responsibility for any
misrepresentations or the
quality of these works. We do
our very best to choose quality
products and present them for
your appraisal..
ATTENTION
NO NEW MEMBERSHIPS ARE BEING ACCEPTED
FOR
THE MACLEAN SELECTION SERVICE -
THIS SERVICE WILL BE REPLACED WITH
SOMETHING A LITTLE DIFFERENT SOON.....
EMAIL ME FOR DETAILS
Contact me:
MACLEAN - Daily Selections
by Malcolm MacLean
MACLEAN selections are based on My Mathematical Formula. On Form,
Weather,
Track Conditions, Trainer, Jockey. Not only that, every runner goes through
a careful analysis. I also look at the trainer and what the likely plan for
this horse is today for today's run.
On form alone, some horses look as though they simply
can't lose, but often the trainer has no intention of letting his horse win.
I have narrowed down the signs and include this in the selection process.
It's time for you to start to
profit. My way is the way that will do it for you.
These selections are chosen to come either 1st 2nd or 3rd. But of course
how you make your bets is entirely up to you. There's plenty of choice with
plans, whether level stakes or betting to a percentage of a bank etc. I'm
sure you are all familiar with that and know what to do. However, I include
suggestions on a special page after membership. I also suggest 'Place Only
Betting' or Use of 'The Dutch Bet Method'
You may join for either One Month - Two Months or
Three Months with purchase of My Mathematical Formula. Membership commences as from The day
of purchase.
I offer you a time saving way to access reliable selections every day
that have a high success rate (between 85% & 93%).
I understand that most punters do not have the time to spend in front of
their computer going over all of the runners to arrive at a selection. Now
is a good time to take advantage of this service and put yourself in front
of the others.
I offer you this service, a service that you can depend
covering most days for the UK (Australia is generally on a Saturday
sometimes mid week) to deliver an acceptable level of high quality
successful bets.
Our pricing is low and competitive. Our results generally are in front of
all other services and after all, it's just the money & profit that you want.
Once you have joined you will be emailed an access password that will be
valid for you during your membership period.
THE INITIAL
BASIS
THIS
IS HOW THE DIABOLICAL STAKING PLAN
WORKS.
"....I've achieved what people have been
reaching out after for centuries in the
development of
The Diabolical
Staking Plan.
Simple, Straight Forward And just two
steps in front of what you have already
been doing for years...
Except this time,
you'll profit.
YOU
ARE NEVER INCREASING YOUR STAKE MONEY.
If your bet is for £10 it will always be
that on every bet you make, £10 - what I
achieved with this plan is something
people have been dreaming of for a long,
long time, it's level stakes, it's
percentage of a bank, it's
accumulative......and will pull in 100
times what you get now...This is an
approach no one has developed or even
thought of before and with safety built
into it for when you hit that loser
The
Diabolical Staking Plan has nothing
whatsoever to do with increasing your
stake money or even worse, doubling up
on your stake money. It is using level
stakes in a unique way.
You out
there are already going to place £10 on
every bet you make , so will I. But if I
am successful and you are also
successful, my winnings will be 100
times higher than yours. If we both
lose, we'll both have lost the same
stake amount.
You never have to quit the way you bet
now if you don't want to.... just try
this along side... Work a few things out
for yourself... Remember you are
selecting a horse to run a place, NOT a
win... It's not hard to do at all..."
My
Mathematical Formula in the very
first chapter will show you how to make
the correct selections following simple
and easy to understand rules. This will
give you an immediate success rate of
between 80% and 90%. -
Details here
Here's How to
Purchase
One Months Membership
For One Months Membership.
Click Here> This costs
£35.00 and is valid for 30 Days: You will receive a copy of The
Diabolical Staking Plan and The full Version of My Mathematical Formula
plus all of the software which helps with any calculations.
Two Months Membership
For Two Months Membership. Click Here> This costs
£55.00 and is valid for 60 Days: You will receive a copy of The
Diabolical Staking Plan and The full Version of My Mathematical Formula
plus all of the software which helps with any calculations.
Three Months Membership
For Three Months Membership -
Click Here> This costs
£75.00 and is valid for 90 Days You will receive a copy of The
Diabolical Staking Plan and The full Version of My Mathematical Formula
plus all of the software which helps with any calculations.
You will be notified within 24 hours upon receipt of payment and will be
provided with an access code where you will find the daily selections along with some good advice and different betting strategies. Plus
the races to concentrate on. This advice is good advice. Listen and you'll
profit.
Selections will generally always be posted on your access page by 9am GMT
day of the race. Bare in mind that Australia is some 9/10 hours in front of
UK time.
The above offer does not apply to any previous
purchase of My Mathematical Formula prior to 16 Feb 2010.
A lot of people judging by my
correspondence, don't want to just Place
Bet using
My Diabolical
Staking Plan. In many
cases they don't want to even use
Betfair.
You can use the Dutch Bet Method
of betting with the
DSP
too. One of the best products you will
find on the internet for this is
Don't Lose Your
Shirt. This product
tells you exactly how to make those
Dutch Bet Selections and comes with the
correct software that calculates how
much to bet on each horse.
Don't Lose Your
Shirt
- is a very good way to select the
right horses and use with
My Diabolical
Staking Plan check it out ...
Here>
Do a friend a favor and pass this article
onto them!
Making the right selections
- Why we may differ in our choice.
A problem that appears common over how we make the right
selections is something people are continually asking me about or commenting
about, so I'm giving this some thought as to how I can better explain what
it is you should be doing.
There are rules/guidelines that I follow as you know. Those who have the
book already know these rules/guidelines. people often email me and say, yes
okay, but the prices are always too short. Or how exactly do we know we have
the same runner you have selected for yourself. Or how do we know from all
of your free selections which are the ones to back. Yes this is tricky for
me to explain and for you to understand.
This is the part where it becomes very difficult for me to put across and to
make it understood. First up, this page is part of a free site for anyone going to my
website and is there as a general guide. Not every one has my book yet.
Second, those who do have my book, basically know what they should be
looking for and know how to narrow down all of the general free selections.
This process has to be flexible enough, even following rules and guidelines
but it must also allow for personal judgment. Rules that are rigid or
systematic and not a little flexible are never going to work, every one
following that are always going to select the same horse and that's what
every other punter in the country will be doing too. This is a bit of a
learning curve I understand, but we have to learn it.
Maybe I need to remove the word 'rules' and replace it with 'method' or some
other description or simply say 'guidelines'.
As I always say, you must use judgment and common sense - and you must learn
the process. That's all very well for me to say, but we all learn in
different ways. The point is, you need to learn and feel comfortable about
your selections your way.
For example I have given rules/guidelines that the recent form should be
something like 2-2-1 or 3-2-2 or 3-2-1 or 2-1-1 and so on...you know what I
mean. The point being, in the last 3 runs that horse has been placed. All
other runners in that race don't have much form and probably not that much
of a chance in this race. In your own opinion following my suggested method
of making the selection.
Or in other words, the rest don't have such good form. The price won't
always be short and if it is, bypass the race, just move on to the next.
Very often I see a horse that has form 322 or something similar, but it's
not fancied for any number of reasons, but I still may select that horse,
because I feel there's not much else running anyway that looks that good to
beat it.
But the general consensus is, some horse in this race with the form 554 is
fancied, but I see no reason why it should be fancied. I'd take a bet on the
horse with better form 322. Even if it doesn't quite fit all the rules and
guidelines I suggest. That's a personal choice.
Often times, very often that horse with the 322 form But Not The Fav - is
successful and at 5/1 or 10/1 or whatever price...routinely that is the
case. My thoughts are this, I'm looking for what I think will get a place,
not necessarily win, I don't care if it wins ....I just want it placed.
I want to be successful with a run of 10 races, that's always in the back of
my mind. I'm no different to you, I also don't want short prices
particularly, I want to achieve my run of 10 with £10,000 at the end of it.
Doesn't always come off of course, but it does quite frequently over time.
Horse racing is not that precise, it's gambling. If it were a business, we
could predict better no doubt, but it's not, it's gambling.
Now, when I am going through each race, not for my free selections on your
website, but the one I am interested in myself. I may interpret the form
differently perhaps than the way you might interpret the form. This is not a
dead set systematic approach we are using, judgment comes in too. This means
there is no way of checking past results in a database as such. Because that
info isn't in any database. Every race is different. The rules and
guidelines that are given are the closest I can get to making good
selections.
As an example I'm going to look at an imaginary race and attempt to show how
I would make my selection and how I would interpret this race
Horse 1 - form - 21111
Horse 2 - form - 77765
Horse 3 - form - 32278
Horse 4 - form - 76322
Horse 5 - form - 76576
Horse 6 - form - 78376
Horse 7 - form - 11287
Horse 8 - form - 434352
Following my rules to the letter, which no one can really do and this is
where your own judgment and knowledge comes in. The choice would be a fairly
obvious on following exact rules. Horse number one is the choice. But is
it? - I wouldn't make that selection, but others might.
I would look at this race in this way. Horse 1 has won 4 races in a row and
a 2nd previous to that - he is the top weight in this race. I would
first of all be thinking, Does the trainer really want this horse to win? -
that's the first question in my mind. The second question would be. This
horse has won 4 straight races, what's the chance here of him winning 5
straight races? It happens of course but that's the question in my mind.
However, the rest of the runners look fairly ordinary. Horse 8 could be in
with a chance. Horse 4 looks pretty good here too. Nicely drawn, up in the
weights but not too high. I would look back at Horse 1 and I'll be thinking,
okay, this might really win. The price with form like that is going to be
odds on as you know. So, it probably will win, But my choice for the race
would be Horse 4.
The chances are horse 1 will win, I don't really care, but I'm confident
between the rest that horse 4 will be placed and he's my selection not horse
1 or horse 8.
Now this is how I would look at this race, Horse 1 is odds on but horse 4 is
at maybe 2/1 or 3/1 or 4/1 and if it is, it's an attractive place bet.
Whatever the price, it should get placed under these conditions that we all
can see from above. The rest of the UK/Aus are backing horse 1 for a win
bet.
Okay, lets see how this imaginary race panned out with imaginary results:
Horse 8 - Won at 6/1
Horse 7 - 2nd at 15/1
Horse 4 came in 3rd and paid 4/1 paying £1.70 for the place bet- while horse
1 the hot favorite came in last of all. That turned out to be a good
and successful bet at a good price on this occasion.
I see this happen time and time again in the UK and also Australia,
everywhere actually. But that is how I would have made my selection in this
race. You on the other hand may have chosen horse 1. I don't think anyone
following my guidelines would have taken horse 8. If you had chosen horse 1
and the price would have been low TAB maybe 1,05 Belfair 1.10 etc. That's
where I say, don't bet move on and find the next race.
Every race is different this is where a little judgment and knowledge,
experience if you like comes in. This is why we seem to make different
selections on occasions, based on fixed rules and guidelines. Other times,
we'll easily see the right choice together.
I don't believe these rules can be that rigid, rigid in such a way,
everyone is going to choose the same horse. Most people do follow such
stringent rules and that's why the price gets so short and unworkable in
part with my plan. The whole of the country is backing the same horse.
I hope I am making some sense with all this. The rules in my book are to the
point, sensible and should be followed, but should also be treated as
guidelines which must be flexible to allow for some common sense decision
making as explained in my example above.
Do a friend a favor and pass this article
onto them!
Bad Betting Habits
So you want to kick your bad betting
habits and replace them with new
resolve, new discipline and new
patience? Well, sounds like a great idea
to me.
The key question, though, is: How
best do you achieve such a state of
betting bliss? Like everything else in
these busy times, it's a matter of
setting goals, picking your spots, and
making sure that every invested dollar
achieves maximum return.
In this series of articles, I am
going to take you through 100 betting
ideas. They will cover the full spectrum
of racing selection and investment. Once
you have studied the 100 ideas 1 am
confident you will be a better and,
ultimately, a richer, punter.
The beginning of a fresh year is just
the right time to get your 'house' in
order to start the long haul to punting
respectability.
(1) SETTING TARGETS
The targets that any punter sets have to
be within the realms of reality. If
you're a $10 punter don't set yourself
the goal of winning thousands of
dollars. Estimate your annual turnover
and then aim at winning 20 per cent. If
you bet $50 a week over, say, 50 weeks
that's a turnover of $2500. Your target
for profit should be 20 per cent of
that, which is $500. Most punters will
turnover a couple of hundred dollars a
week. In that case the annual turnover
is $10,000 and the 20 per cent target is
$2000.
(2) MAKE FORM STUDY A HABIT
To make any sense out of racing, you
have to make form study a habit. Decide,
before you start anything, how many days
a week you are going to bet, and put
aside special time to study the form for
the meetings you are going to cover. And
remember that you are going to have to
budget for 'extras' like form guides,
videos, magazines, any computerization
you use, transport to and from the
tracks - all that sort of thing (even to
allowing for the drinks and food you eat
at the track or at the TAB). Get as much
in the way of form information at your
disposal as you can. Knowledge is power.
(3) THE RIGHT FRAME OF MIND
Panic never won a war. Panic never wins
the betting war, either. Once your have
set yourself goals, chosen your bets,
and decided on an approach, don't panic
if things do not go as planned. If you
have faith in what you are doing - in
your selection process and the
management approach you are using to bet
the selections - then panic is uncalled
for. Keep calm.
(4) MAKING HAY WHILE THE SUN SHINES
We've all had those days when everything
seems to go right. Yet how many of us
truly capitalize on the sunshine days?
Not many, I bet. The trouble is that
punters are always under betting winners
and over betting losers.
This is why staking is important. Your
armory should include the capacity to
upgrade the size of your bets when you
enter the 'supreme confidence' phase.
This is the time when you know that
everything seems right, and that it's
your day to make a killing. One extra
great day per year can lift your profits
enormously.
(5) GET YOURSELF A STYLE
There are so many different approaches
to selecting and betting. You have to
choose one that suits your personal
style. It's no good taking on a staking
plan that might call for big bets if you
haven't got the stomach to hand over the
big bills. Tailor your cloth to suit
your needs, and what you can handle
psychologically. You must develop a
style of betting that suits you 100 per
cent. If you hate quinellas and
trifectas, don't bother with them. Stick
with what makes you comfortable.
(6) FINDING THE RIGHT RACES
Ah, easier said than done. Too many
punters simply bet too many races. If
you've set goals, and you have your
selection method in hand, you should
know which races to choose. Study the
past to find the clues to the future.
Which races have served you best? Which
types of races have been dead losses?
Stick with the winners, axe the losers.
(7) DON'T MISS A HORSE
When you study form, make sure you study
it properly. A common failing is to get
a 'fancy' for a particular horse and
allow that attachment to cloud your
judgment. Go through the form of every
horse in the race. Many punters even
start from the rank outsiders and work
down to the favorite. In this way, they
can avoid the temptation to write off
the long shots because they just can't
be bothered looking at their form.
(8) THE MAJOR FACTORS
Certain elements always have to be
assessed when you are doing the form.
They are Class, Weight, Form, Fitness.
These can be called the key factors of
form. You must determine if a horse is
up to the class of the race; you must
decide if he can carry his weight and
win; you must decide if his form is good
enough; and finally you have to assess
whether a horse is fit to win. Always
bear these things in mind, and answer
each point objectively. A simple 'tick
test' can be used against each factor
for each horse. Why not make up your own
ruled sheet and have hundreds printed at
your nearest quick-print shop?
(9) NEW FORM, OLD FORM
When you put a horse through the form
'wringer' you should put more emphasis
on recent form than on old form. One
Brisbane professional says he puts a
limit of 18 months on form lines, and
always takes more notice of what a horse
has done in the latest six months. But
sometimes you can find the key to a race
through a bit of old form, so it can
never be ruled out entirely.
(10) ABILITY AT THE DISTANCE
One of the questions you must ask
yourself is whether a selection can run
the distance of the race. In most cases,
the answer will be clear. The horse will
have previous winning form over the
trip. Often, though, the answer is not
so clear. The horse may be untried at
the distance. This is when you have to
use your skill and judgment. Even if a
horse is a winner at the journey, he may
now face a rise in class and you have to
decide if he can meet this class
challenge and still get the distance.
Then there's the question of weight. A
horse may win over 1200m with 51 and
52kg but can it carry 56 or 57 kg and
win? Take a lot of care on the distance
factor. Try to imagine the race in your
mind. Look at the other runners to judge
for early speed and late-closers.
(11) FOLLOW THE RIGHT STABLES
It goes without saying that some
trainers and jockeys dominate racing. We
all know who they are. It is especially
important that in major races you give a
lot of thought to the entries from the
leading stables. History shows they will
win a significant number of Group 1, 2
and 3 races.
(12) IF DOUBTFUL, DON'T BET
Punters are always wracked by doubts and
fear. This is normal. Even the most
seasoned and professional punter will be
assailed by worries of various kinds.
Some races will end up with you being
confused by doubt. Will 1 bet, won't 1
bet? If there are doubts in your mind,
if you can't really choose between
various runners, then simply stay out.
It won't hurt to miss a race or two.
There will always be plenty more. Never
be afraid of missing a winner. You will
avoid backing more losers than you will
miss backing winners. Caution is good
sense in these instances of doubt.
(13) STAY COMMITTED
Once you have decided on the manner in
which you choose your selections, and on
how you will bet them, stay committed to
that course. Don't be sidetracked by
someone else's tips or urgings. Bet your
horses and leave it at that.
There is little long-term value in
entrusting your cash to your mate's
tips. If you've put in the hard work
yourself, you should be quite satisfied
that you have done enough and bet
accordingly.
(14) BET AGAINST THE MASS
Perhaps the only way any punter is going
to make a long-term profit is by gaining
value with the invested dollar. This
means that you will have to bet against
the public if you are to have any
chance. Don't be suckered into backing
under-valued horses; there's no future
in it. Remember that if the bookies are
posting a horse at evens (50 per cent)
they will have given it a true value of
less than that, probably at least 6/4
(40 per cent). That means you are
accepting poor value if you accept their
even money. Make sure any bet you make
is a value bet according to your
informed research and analysis.
(15) MAKE YOUR OWN MARKET
It's not so hard to make your own
betting market. You can do it off the
top of your head. Price your main
fancies first. Ask yourself what price
you would be prepared to take about your
top pick? Would you back it at 6/4 or
would that seem foolish? Does 5/2 make
you feel comfortable? If so, make that
the cut-off point, or perhaps even a
half point longer, for safety's sake. If
this approach doesn't appeal, then look
for a mechanical way of assessment.
Allot points and work out the price that
way.
(16) OVER BETTING DANGERS
Never over bet. Chain betting or
reckless race-to-race betting will never
get you anywhere. You have to pick your
spots. Keep the number of bets under
control. You don't have to restrict
yourself to just one. But something
around 5 or 6 should be enough for the
day. That amount gives you enough action
and the chance of survival.
How To Place Bet On Favorites For A
Living >
Article by Martin Dowling
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