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MACLEAN - Selections -
Info Here
more results?
TUESDAY 9 FEB 2010
ONE SELECTION FOR MEMBERS TODAY -
FORGET ALL THE OTHER RACES:
The following are the most likely
runners to be 'placed' in these races.
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Market Rasen - Tuesday 9 February
Going: Chase Soft, G/Soft places,
Hurdles G/Soft, Soft places
13:30 Blue Nymph
14:00 Ranjobaie
14:30 Lady Bernie
15:00 Vivarini
15:30 Donald Will Do
16:00 Pristine Condition
16:30 Mac Aeda
Sedgefield - Tuesday 9 February
Going: Heavy
14:10 Caheerloch
14:40 Tilt
15:10 Riguez Dancer
15:40 Oniz Tiptoes
16:10 Moulin de La Croix
16:40 Pair Of Kings
Southwell - Tuesday 9 February
Going: Standard
13:50 Jackie Kiely
14:20 Turf Time
14:50 Monte Major
15:20 Loveinthesand
15:50 Harlech Castle
16:20 Always Dixie
16:50 Spruce
END
Monday 8 Feb
The following are the most likely
runners to be 'placed' in these races.
I have nominated 1 of these
selections to my members:
Lingfield - Monday 8 February
Going: Heavy
13:20 Five Out Of Five - lost
13:50 Freddies Return - lost
14:20 Sarando -
Successful place bet WON
£3.70
-
£1.30
14:50 Chariot Charger -
Successful
place bet 2nd
£2.00
15:20 Ban Uisce - lost
15:50 Pret A Thou -
Successful place
bet WON
£3.70
-
£1.60
16:20 Fruity O'Rooney -
Successful place
bet WON
£4.20
-
£1.30
16:50 Boa -
Successful place bet 3rd
£1.80
Southwell - Monday 8 February
Going: Soft
14:10 Ray Mond -
Successful place bet WON
£4.70 - £1.60
14:40 Mill Side - lost
15:10 Burton Port -
Successful place
bet WON
£2.30
-
£1.10
15:40 River Beauty - lost
16:10 Quick Live -
Successful place
bet 2nd
£1.30
16:40 Basford Bob -
Successful place
bet 2nd
£1.50
Wolverhampton - Monday 8 February
Going: Standard
14:00 Monte Major -
NR
14:30 Ardmaddy - lost
15:00 Obe Gold -
Successful
place bet 3rd
£1.70 -
(Members Selection) - members
new it...
15:30 Smalljohn -
Successful place
bet WON
£2.40
-
£1.30
16:00 Ilie Nastase -
Successful place
bet 3rd
£1.40
16:30 Bestowed - lost
17:00 Hilbre Point - lost
17:30 Make Amends -
Successful place
bet WON
£7.80
-
£2.00
Nothing much of interest here today,
just one race above for members.
end
(what a horrible day!)
Fontwell - Sunday 7 February
Going: Soft, Good to Soft in places
13:50 Orzare -
Successful place bet WON
£1.90
- £1.10
14:20 Vino Griego -
NR
14:50 Omme Antique - lost
15:20 Stoney's Treasure - lost
15:50 Wadswick Ben -
Successful place
bet
3rd
B/F?
16:20 French Ties - lost
16:50 J'Adhere -
Successful place bet 2nd
£3.10
Musselburgh - Sunday 7 February
Going: Good to Soft, Good in places (3mm
overnight rain)
13:30 Alvarado -
Successful place bet 2nd
£1.70
14:00 Lord Ragnar - lost
14:30 Carlito Brigante -
Successful place
bet WON
£2.10
- £1.10
15:00 The Polomoche - lost
15:30 Zanir - lost
16:00 Striking Article - lost
16:30 Owen Glendower -
Successful place
bet 3rd £1.40
Southwell - Sunday 7 February
Going: Standard
13:40 Borasco - lost
14:10 Inside Track -
2nd
14:40 Binthere Dunthat -
Successful place
bet 2nd £1.50
15:10 Marjolly - lost
15:40 Premium Charge -
Successful place
bet WON
£2.40
- £1.10
16:10 Boundless Prospect -
Successful place
bet WON
£2.50
- £1.80
16:40 Highland River -
Successful place
bet
2nd
£2.30
There are 2 races above that I will be
backing for a 'PLACE BET ONLY'. MY
MEMBERS KNOW THE RACES! AND THE RESULTS
WILL BE POSTED HERE LATER
The rest of today's card for those
who follow my ways are of no interest to
us and we won't be wasting money on
them.
Today's Selections - Saturday 6 Feb 2010
Australia
Ascot R5 Nollamara -
Successful
Place Bet 2nd $1.20
Doomben
R5 Red Sphere -
Successful Place
Bet WON $3.20 - $1.60
UK
Sandown 16:15
Russian Flag -
Successful Place
Bet WON 7/2 £4.40 - £2.20
Wetherby 14:20
Battlecry -
Successful Place
Bet 2nd 9/2 £2.10
END
Here's how to join this Fabulous
Service
MACLEAN - Daily Selections
by Malcolm MacLean
MACLEAN selections are based on My Mathematical Formula. On Form,
Weather,
Track Conditions, Trainer, Jockey. Not only that, every runner goes through
a careful analysis. I also look at the trainer and what the likely plan for
this horse is today for today's run.
On form alone, some horses look as though they simply
can't lose, but often the trainer has no intention of letting his horse win.
I have narrowed down the signs and include this in the selection process.
It's time for you to start to
profit. My way is the way that will do it for you.
These selections are chosen to come either 1st 2nd or 3rd. But of course
how you make your bets is entirely up to you. There's plenty of choice with
plans, whether level stakes or betting to a percentage of a bank etc. I'm
sure you are all familiar with that and know what to do. However, I include
suggestions on a special page after membership. I also suggest 'Place Only
Betting' or Use of 'The Dutch Bet Method'
You may join for either One Month - Two Months or
Three Months with purchase of My Mathematical Formula. Membership commences as from The day
of purchase.
I offer you a time saving way to access reliable selections every day
that have a high success rate (between 85% & 93%).
I understand that most punters do not have the time to spend in front of
their computer going over all of the runners to arrive at a selection. Now
is a good time to take advantage of this service and put yourself in front
of the others.
I offer you this service, a service that you can depend
covering most days for the UK (Australia is generally on a Saturday
sometimes mid week) to deliver an acceptable level of high quality
successful bets.
Our pricing is low and competitive. Our results generally are in front of
all other services and after all, it's just the money & profit that you want.
Once you have joined you will be emailed an access password that will be
valid for you during your membership period.
Here's How to
Purchase
One Months Membership
For One Months Membership.
Click Here> This costs
£25.00 and is valid for 30 Days: You will receive a copy of The
Diabolical Staking Plan and The full Version of My Mathematical Formula
plus all of the software which helps with any calculations.
Two Months Membership
For Two Months Membership. Click Here> This costs
£45.00 and is valid for 60 Days: You will receive a copy of The
Diabolical Staking Plan and The full Version of My Mathematical Formula
plus all of the software which helps with any calculations.
Three Months Membership
For Three Months Membership -
Click Here> This costs
£65.00 and is valid for 90 Days You will receive a copy of The
Diabolical Staking Plan and The full Version of My Mathematical Formula
plus all of the software which helps with any calculations.
You will be notified within 24 hours upon receipt of payment and will be
provided with an access code where you will find the daily selections along with some good advice and different betting strategies. Plus
the races to concentrate on. This advice is good advice. Listen and you'll
profit.
Selections will generally always be posted on your access page by 9am GMT
day of the race. Bare in mind that Australia is some 9/10 hours in front of
UK time.
The above offer does not apply to any previous
purchase of My Mathematical Formula prior to 1st Nov 2009.
For those who continually write in and say
".... This can't be
done..." and these runs never happen.." ...
Well here it is.... and this is the second time over the past 8 or 9
weeks.... £16,147.44
from a £20 Bet!
Members of my service do benefit!
So, here are the full results ....
15 Consecutive Successful
Place Bets
Lowest price was
£1.10 and the highest price was
£2.40 - The average price was
£1.50
Starting Bet of
£20.00 -
Total Profit
£16,147.44
The run started on
Monday 16th Nov and was completed
yesterday Tuesday
1st Dec
This is what My Selection Service has achieved for
my members and myself!
THIS IS WHERE I
AM STOPPING BETTING:
- THIS COMPLETES A
SUCCESSFUL RUN OF 15 WITH A PROFIT OF
OVER
£16,000
IN LESS THAN TWO WEEKS! - FROM AN
INITIAL
£20
BET - THE MOST I EVER RISKED WAS
£300. -
AND ON
SUCCESS! WHAT A PROFIT!
15 Consecutive Successful
Place Bets
Lowest price was
£1.10 and the highest price was
£2.40 - The average price was
£1.50
Starting Bet of
£20.00 -
Total Profit
£16,147.44
You can join this service at any time and
your membership is current from the time of purchase.
Full Details:
TOWNSVILLE 16/11/09
R3 Whitsunday Express - Successful Place Bet WON $2.30 - $1.10
Wolverhampton
15:30 Traphalgar - Successful Place Bet 2nd 8/1
Fakenham - Tuesday 17 November
13:00 Little Firecracker - Successful Place Bet WON 7/1
Southwell - Tuesday 17 November
13:50 Clear Ice - Successful Place Bet 2nd 15/8
Hexham - Wednesday 18 November
13:20 Cross Kennon - abandoned
Lingfield - Wednesday 18 November
13:00 Chocolate Cookie - Successful Place Bet WON 5/1
Hereford - Thursday 19 November
13:50 Three Ships - Successful Place Bet 2nd 7/4
Kempton - Thursday 19 November
17:30 Excellent Thought - Successful Place Bet 3rd 9/4
ROSEHILL 21/11/09
R3 Gangitano - Successful Place Bet 3rd $1.50
Towcester - Sunday 22 November
15:20 Satindra - Successful Place Bet 3rd 4/1
SCONE 24/11/09
R4 Sweet Inspirations - Successful Place Bet 3rd $1.60
Kempton - Thursday 26 November
17:00 Lethal - Successful Place Bet WON 11/10
MORPHETTVILLE 28/11/09
R3 Naughty Boy - Successful Place Bet 2nd $1.50
MUSWELLBROOK 01/12/09
R3 Nerveux - Successful Place Bet 2nd $1.20
TOWNSVILLE 01/12/09
R6 Frigate - Successful Place Bet 3rd $2.40
UK
Lingfield 13:00 Mr Willis - Successful Place Bet WON 1/1
£16,147.44
from a £20 Bet!
END
A little
info for UK residents or USA residents
or anyone outside of Australia:
MACLEAN - Selections -
Info Here
Betfair is almost useless for placing
bets on aussie racing. At best you might
just get a couple of hundred on (which
for many is fine) but as soon as you
have the types of success we have had
over the last week or so, you won't get
those bets on.
This is what
I suggest you do:
Whatever
country you are in, make perfectly sure
you are using a legal and authorized
bookmaker. NEVER USE illegal bookmakers
even offshore bookmakers. If you do, you
leave yourself wide open to prosecution.
You may also find that using some of
these offshore betting sites, that you
never get your winnings and have no
legal avenue to complain or attempt to
get your money back.
Great Britain, The
U.S.A. and Australia have new and
stringent laws in place against using
the above type of facilities. The sites
I have listed below are all legal and
authorized within Australia. Should you
reside in the U.S.A - Then check your
local laws to ensure if you join any
said service that it is legal for you to
do so.
My
Mathematical Formula by Malcolm MacLean
THE INITIAL
BASIS -
THIS
IS HOW THE DIABOLICAL STAKING PLAN
WORKS -
 Go
here
Always
keep firmly in mind Horse Racing is
Gambling - It is not a business or an
investment
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A lot of people judging by my
correspondence, don't want to just Place
Bet using
My Diabolical
Staking Plan. In many
cases they don't want to even use
Betfair.
You can use the Dutch Bet Method
of betting with the
DSP
too. One of the best products you will
find on the internet for this is
Don't Lose Your
Shirt. This product
tells you exactly how to make those
Dutch Bet Selections and comes with the
correct software that calculates how
much to bet on each horse.
Don't Lose Your
Shirt
- s a very good way to select the
right horses and use with
My Diabolical
Staking Plan check it out ...
Here>
End
THE INITIAL
BASIS
THIS
IS HOW THE DIABOLICAL STAKING PLAN
WORKS.
"....I've achieved what people have been
reaching out after for centuries in the
development of
The Diabolical
Staking Plan.
Simple, Straight Forward And just two
steps in front of what you have already
been doing for years...
Except this time,
you'll profit.
YOU
ARE NEVER INCREASING YOUR STAKE MONEY.
If your bet is for £10 it will always be
that on every bet you make, £10 - what I
achieved with this plan is something
people have been dreaming of for a long,
long time, it's level stakes, it's
percentage of a bank, it's
accumulative......and will pull in 100
times what you get now...This is an
approach no one has developed or even
thought of before and with safety built
into it for when you hit that loser
The
Diabolical Staking Plan has nothing
whatsoever to do with increasing your
stake money or even worse, doubling up
on your stake money. It is using level
stakes in a unique way.
You out
there are already going to place £10 on
every bet you make , so will I. But if I
am successful and you are also
successful, my winnings will be 100
times higher than yours. If we both
lose, we'll both have lost the same
stake amount.
You never have to quit the way you bet
now if you don't want to.... just try
this along side... Work a few things out
for yourself... Remember you are
selecting a horse to run a place, NOT a
win... It's not hard to do at all..."
My
Mathematical Formula in the very
first chapter will show you how to make
the correct selections following simple
and easy to understand rules. This will
give you an immediate success rate of
between 80% and 90%. -
Details here
Betting Systems - The
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Do a friend a favor and pass this article
onto them!
Making the right selections
- Why we may differ in our choice.
A problem that appears common over how we make the right
selections is something people are continually asking me about or commenting
about, so I'm giving this some thought as to how I can better explain what
it is you should be doing.
There are rules/guidelines that I follow as you know. Those who have the
book already know these rules/guidelines. people often email me and say, yes
okay, but the prices are always too short. Or how exactly do we know we have
the same runner you have selected for yourself. Or how do we know from all
of your free selections which are the ones to back. Yes this is tricky for
me to explain and for you to understand.
This is the part where it becomes very difficult for me to put across and to
make it understood. First up, this page is part of a free site for anyone going to my
website and is there as a general guide. Not every one has my book yet.
Second, those who do have my book, basically know what they should be
looking for and know how to narrow down all of the general free selections.
This process has to be flexible enough, even following rules and guidelines
but it must also allow for personal judgment. Rules that are rigid or
systematic and not a little flexible are never going to work, every one
following that are always going to select the same horse and that's what
every other punter in the country will be doing too. This is a bit of a
learning curve I understand, but we have to learn it.
Maybe I need to remove the word 'rules' and replace it with 'method' or some
other description or simply say 'guidelines'.
As I always say, you must use judgment and common sense - and you must learn
the process. That's all very well for me to say, but we all learn in
different ways. The point is, you need to learn and feel comfortable about
your selections your way.
For example I have given rules/guidelines that the recent form should be
something like 2-2-1 or 3-2-2 or 3-2-1 or 2-1-1 and so on...you know what I
mean. The point being, in the last 3 runs that horse has been placed. All
other runners in that race don't have much form and probably not that much
of a chance in this race. In your own opinion following my suggested method
of making the selection.
Or in other words, the rest don't have such good form. The price won't
always be short and if it is, bypass the race, just move on to the next.
Very often I see a horse that has form 322 or something similar, but it's
not fancied for any number of reasons, but I still may select that horse,
because I feel there's not much else running anyway that looks that good to
beat it.
But the general consensus is, some horse in this race with the form 554 is
fancied, but I see no reason why it should be fancied. I'd take a bet on the
horse with better form 322. Even if it doesn't quite fit all the rules and
guidelines I suggest. That's a personal choice.
Often times, very often that horse with the 322 form But Not The Fav - is
successful and at 5/1 or 10/1 or whatever price...routinely that is the
case. My thoughts are this, I'm looking for what I think will get a place,
not necessarily win, I don't care if it wins ....I just want it placed.
I want to be successful with a run of 10 races, that's always in the back of
my mind. I'm no different to you, I also don't want short prices
particularly, I want to achieve my run of 10 with £10,000 at the end of it.
Doesn't always come off of course, but it does quite frequently over time.
Horse racing is not that precise, it's gambling. If it were a business, we
could predict better no doubt, but it's not, it's gambling.
Now, when I am going through each race, not for my free selections on your
website, but the one I am interested in myself. I may interpret the form
differently perhaps than the way you might interpret the form. This is not a
dead set systematic approach we are using, judgment comes in too. This means
there is no way of checking past results in a database as such. Because that
info isn't in any database. Every race is different. The rules and
guidelines that are given are the closest I can get to making good
selections.
As an example I'm going to look at an imaginary race and attempt to show how
I would make my selection and how I would interpret this race
Horse 1 - form - 21111
Horse 2 - form - 77765
Horse 3 - form - 32278
Horse 4 - form - 76322
Horse 5 - form - 76576
Horse 6 - form - 78376
Horse 7 - form - 11287
Horse 8 - form - 434352
Following my rules to the letter, which no one can really do and this is
where your own judgment and knowledge comes in. The choice would be a fairly
obvious on following exact rules. Horse number one is the choice. But is
it? - I wouldn't make that selection, but others might.
I would look at this race in this way. Horse 1 has won 4 races in a row and
a 2nd previous to that - he is the top weight in this race. I would
first of all be thinking, Does the trainer really want this horse to win? -
that's the first question in my mind. The second question would be. This
horse has won 4 straight races, what's the chance here of him winning 5
straight races? It happens of course but that's the question in my mind.
However, the rest of the runners look fairly ordinary. Horse 8 could be in
with a chance. Horse 4 looks pretty good here too. Nicely drawn, up in the
weights but not too high. I would look back at Horse 1 and I'll be thinking,
okay, this might really win. The price with form like that is going to be
odds on as you know. So, it probably will win, But my choice for the race
would be Horse 4.
The chances are horse 1 will win, I don't really care, but I'm confident
between the rest that horse 4 will be placed and he's my selection not horse
1 or horse 8.
Now this is how I would look at this race, Horse 1 is odds on but horse 4 is
at maybe 2/1 or 3/1 or 4/1 and if it is, it's an attractive place bet.
Whatever the price, it should get placed under these conditions that we all
can see from above. The rest of the UK/Aus are backing horse 1 for a win
bet.
Okay, lets see how this imaginary race panned out with imaginary results:
Horse 8 - Won at 6/1
Horse 7 - 2nd at 15/1
Horse 4 came in 3rd and paid 4/1 paying £1.70 for the place bet- while horse
1 the hot favorite came in last of all. That turned out to be a good
and successful bet at a good price on this occasion.
I see this happen time and time again in the UK and also Australia,
everywhere actually. But that is how I would have made my selection in this
race. You on the other hand may have chosen horse 1. I don't think anyone
following my guidelines would have taken horse 8. If you had chosen horse 1
and the price would have been low TAB maybe 1,05 Belfair 1.10 etc. That's
where I say, don't bet move on and find the next race.
Every race is different this is where a little judgment and knowledge,
experience if you like comes in. This is why we seem to make different
selections on occasions, based on fixed rules and guidelines. Other times,
we'll easily see the right choice together.
I don't believe these rules can be that rigid, rigid in such a way,
everyone is going to choose the same horse. Most people do follow such
stringent rules and that's why the price gets so short and unworkable in
part with my plan. The whole of the country is backing the same horse.
I hope I am making some sense with all this. The rules in my book are to the
point, sensible and should be followed, but should also be treated as
guidelines which must be flexible to allow for some common sense decision
making as explained in my example above.
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Bad Betting Habits
So you want to kick your bad betting
habits and replace them with new
resolve, new discipline and new
patience? Well, sounds like a great idea
to me.
The key question, though, is: How
best do you achieve such a state of
betting bliss? Like everything else in
these busy times, it's a matter of
setting goals, picking your spots, and
making sure that every invested dollar
achieves maximum return.
In this series of articles, I am
going to take you through 100 betting
ideas. They will cover the full spectrum
of racing selection and investment. Once
you have studied the 100 ideas 1 am
confident you will be a better and,
ultimately, a richer, punter.
The beginning of a fresh year is just
the right time to get your 'house' in
order to start the long haul to punting
respectability.
(1) SETTING TARGETS
The targets that any punter sets have to
be within the realms of reality. If
you're a $10 punter don't set yourself
the goal of winning thousands of
dollars. Estimate your annual turnover
and then aim at winning 20 per cent. If
you bet $50 a week over, say, 50 weeks
that's a turnover of $2500. Your target
for profit should be 20 per cent of
that, which is $500. Most punters will
turnover a couple of hundred dollars a
week. In that case the annual turnover
is $10,000 and the 20 per cent target is
$2000.
(2) MAKE FORM STUDY A HABIT
To make any sense out of racing, you
have to make form study a habit. Decide,
before you start anything, how many days
a week you are going to bet, and put
aside special time to study the form for
the meetings you are going to cover. And
remember that you are going to have to
budget for 'extras' like form guides,
videos, magazines, any computerization
you use, transport to and from the
tracks - all that sort of thing (even to
allowing for the drinks and food you eat
at the track or at the TAB). Get as much
in the way of form information at your
disposal as you can. Knowledge is power.
(3) THE RIGHT FRAME OF MIND
Panic never won a war. Panic never wins
the betting war, either. Once your have
set yourself goals, chosen your bets,
and decided on an approach, don't panic
if things do not go as planned. If you
have faith in what you are doing - in
your selection process and the
management approach you are using to bet
the selections - then panic is uncalled
for. Keep calm.
(4) MAKING HAY WHILE THE SUN SHINES
We've all had those days when everything
seems to go right. Yet how many of us
truly capitalize on the sunshine days?
Not many, I bet. The trouble is that
punters are always under betting winners
and over betting losers.
This is why staking is important. Your
armory should include the capacity to
upgrade the size of your bets when you
enter the 'supreme confidence' phase.
This is the time when you know that
everything seems right, and that it's
your day to make a killing. One extra
great day per year can lift your profits
enormously.
(5) GET YOURSELF A STYLE
There are so many different approaches
to selecting and betting. You have to
choose one that suits your personal
style. It's no good taking on a staking
plan that might call for big bets if you
haven't got the stomach to hand over the
big bills. Tailor your cloth to suit
your needs, and what you can handle
psychologically. You must develop a
style of betting that suits you 100 per
cent. If you hate quinellas and
trifectas, don't bother with them. Stick
with what makes you comfortable.
(6) FINDING THE RIGHT RACES
Ah, easier said than done. Too many
punters simply bet too many races. If
you've set goals, and you have your
selection method in hand, you should
know which races to choose. Study the
past to find the clues to the future.
Which races have served you best? Which
types of races have been dead losses?
Stick with the winners, axe the losers.
(7) DON'T MISS A HORSE
When you study form, make sure you study
it properly. A common failing is to get
a 'fancy' for a particular horse and
allow that attachment to cloud your
judgment. Go through the form of every
horse in the race. Many punters even
start from the rank outsiders and work
down to the favorite. In this way, they
can avoid the temptation to write off
the long shots because they just can't
be bothered looking at their form.
(8) THE MAJOR FACTORS
Certain elements always have to be
assessed when you are doing the form.
They are Class, Weight, Form, Fitness.
These can be called the key factors of
form. You must determine if a horse is
up to the class of the race; you must
decide if he can carry his weight and
win; you must decide if his form is good
enough; and finally you have to assess
whether a horse is fit to win. Always
bear these things in mind, and answer
each point objectively. A simple 'tick
test' can be used against each factor
for each horse. Why not make up your own
ruled sheet and have hundreds printed at
your nearest quick-print shop?
(9) NEW FORM, OLD FORM
When you put a horse through the form
'wringer' you should put more emphasis
on recent form than on old form. One
Brisbane professional says he puts a
limit of 18 months on form lines, and
always takes more notice of what a horse
has done in the latest six months. But
sometimes you can find the key to a race
through a bit of old form, so it can
never be ruled out entirely.
(10) ABILITY AT THE DISTANCE
One of the questions you must ask
yourself is whether a selection can run
the distance of the race. In most cases,
the answer will be clear. The horse will
have previous winning form over the
trip. Often, though, the answer is not
so clear. The horse may be untried at
the distance. This is when you have to
use your skill and judgment. Even if a
horse is a winner at the journey, he may
now face a rise in class and you have to
decide if he can meet this class
challenge and still get the distance.
Then there's the question of weight. A
horse may win over 1200m with 51 and
52kg but can it carry 56 or 57 kg and
win? Take a lot of care on the distance
factor. Try to imagine the race in your
mind. Look at the other runners to judge
for early speed and late-closers.
(11) FOLLOW THE RIGHT STABLES
It goes without saying that some
trainers and jockeys dominate racing. We
all know who they are. It is especially
important that in major races you give a
lot of thought to the entries from the
leading stables. History shows they will
win a significant number of Group 1, 2
and 3 races.
(12) IF DOUBTFUL, DON'T BET
Punters are always wracked by doubts and
fear. This is normal. Even the most
seasoned and professional punter will be
assailed by worries of various kinds.
Some races will end up with you being
confused by doubt. Will 1 bet, won't 1
bet? If there are doubts in your mind,
if you can't really choose between
various runners, then simply stay out.
It won't hurt to miss a race or two.
There will always be plenty more. Never
be afraid of missing a winner. You will
avoid backing more losers than you will
miss backing winners. Caution is good
sense in these instances of doubt.
(13) STAY COMMITTED
Once you have decided on the manner in
which you choose your selections, and on
how you will bet them, stay committed to
that course. Don't be sidetracked by
someone else's tips or urgings. Bet your
horses and leave it at that.
There is little long-term value in
entrusting your cash to your mate's
tips. If you've put in the hard work
yourself, you should be quite satisfied
that you have done enough and bet
accordingly.
(14) BET AGAINST THE MASS
Perhaps the only way any punter is going
to make a long-term profit is by gaining
value with the invested dollar. This
means that you will have to bet against
the public if you are to have any
chance. Don't be suckered into backing
under-valued horses; there's no future
in it. Remember that if the bookies are
posting a horse at evens (50 per cent)
they will have given it a true value of
less than that, probably at least 6/4
(40 per cent). That means you are
accepting poor value if you accept their
even money. Make sure any bet you make
is a value bet according to your
informed research and analysis.
(15) MAKE YOUR OWN MARKET
It's not so hard to make your own
betting market. You can do it off the
top of your head. Price your main
fancies first. Ask yourself what price
you would be prepared to take about your
top pick? Would you back it at 6/4 or
would that seem foolish? Does 5/2 make
you feel comfortable? If so, make that
the cut-off point, or perhaps even a
half point longer, for safety's sake. If
this approach doesn't appeal, then look
for a mechanical way of assessment.
Allot points and work out the price that
way.
(16) OVER BETTING DANGERS
Never over bet. Chain betting or
reckless race-to-race betting will never
get you anywhere. You have to pick your
spots. Keep the number of bets under
control. You don't have to restrict
yourself to just one. But something
around 5 or 6 should be enough for the
day. That amount gives you enough action
and the chance of survival.
How To Place Bet On Favorites For A
Living >
Article by Martin Dowling
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